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Technology Stocks : Cymer (CYMI) -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Cymeed who wrote (11784)12/21/1997 12:36:00 PM
From: chaz  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 25960
 
My Opinion Only: To the extent that devalued currencies deliver paycuts, importers to those populations will also take the cuts thru lost sales (or deferred, if you prefer, effect is the same), thus exporting the cuts. For companies exporting at their margins, this will be (case by case) disaster or merely "challenging." Wisdom here has it that we can't slow technology...don't bet on it. Market forces are like rising water, can't prevent it, can't control it. We're going to see structural corporate change world wide, lower prices world-wide, lower profits world-wide, and incredible bargains for investors during the next 12 - 18 months. For now, I'm going to 100% cash. That includes RE investments. Absent gut wrenching change in the Asian economies, the IMF bailouts & piddling tax cuts will prove insufficient. One thing I have learned is that every "recession" is different, so searching for "similarity" to previous events is a good way to be outflanked. It's what's going on NOW that counts. Chaz.



To: Cymeed who wrote (11784)12/22/1997 5:55:00 PM
From: Mr. Aloha  Respond to of 25960
 
I see this latest selloff in tech stocks (from Oct. '97)...

as an almost predictable rolling hill pattern. They go up too far and down too far.

1996 was too much demand not enough supply leading to over-orders. Followed by strong supply and backlog order cancellations, finally working themselves out in 1997 etc..

Late 1997 is strong growth followed by foreign economic problems. 1998 will be problem solving followed by an upward correction.

Personal opinion.

Aloha