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To: goldsnow who wrote (4579)12/21/1997 4:50:00 PM
From: PaulM  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 116815
 
Goldsnow - "The Rothschild team is positive about the energy and metals (particularly aluminum) sub-sectors, but less enthused by gold and diversified companies, like BHP"?????

I don't know who the Rothschild's are, but based on that statement I suspect this thread is overestimating their financial acumen.

All world economic indicators--from slower forecasted world economic growth, Asian recession (depression), lower long term rates in the U.S. even as short term rates rise, falling commodity prices, decreases in assets valuations coming despite very easy money, decreasing proportion of M-2 to M-3--all of this suggests deflation on the horizion.

During a serious deflation commodities like aluminum, copper and foodstuffs generally get trashed. Only gold and silver--i.e., the metals traditionally used as money--rise. So I would say that contrarian prognostication is the exact opposite of the truth.