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To: John F. Poteraske who wrote (632)12/22/1997
From: Todd D. Wiener  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 886
 
Happy holidays to everyone.

As promised, I have completed my analysis and estimate revision for SMTC. For the past few quarters, my estimates for FY98 and FY99 have been $1.95 and $2.65, respectively. It appears that SMTC should have no problem achieving the FY98 estimate. I am increasing both estimates slightly, to account for the positive effect of the ATE division.

My estimate for Q4 is EPS of $0.58. That's net income of $4.7 million, based on revenues of $28.5 million.

For FY99, I'm expecting EPS of $2.73 (39% increase), net income of $22.8 million (45% increase) and revenues of $131.5 million (28% increase).

From FY98 to FY99:

Gross margin increases from 47.7% to 50.1%.
SG&A decreases from 16.3% of sales to 15.5% of sales.
R&D increases from 8.8% of sales to 9.3% of sales.
Operating margin increases from 22.5% to 25.3%.
Net profit margin increases from 15.3% to 17.4%.

Based on these estimates, SMTC is trading at 13 times next year's EPS.

Todd