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Politics : Formerly About Applied Materials -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Big Bucks who wrote (13731)12/21/1997 7:10:00 PM
From: Paul V.  Respond to of 70976
 
Big Buck, >Another way is to diversify the product portfolio and produce ASICs or other foundry chips, where the market is not so soft.
There is no consumer market available yet for sub 0.25uM devices
so there is no real need to produce advanced products with limited
short/mid term profit potential.<

IYHO, how will this appoach impacts bottom line in the shortrun and longrun and how long?

>300mm pilot lines will take 1-2 years to become fully functional
and the equipment sets required will undergo numerous productivity
and enhancement upgrades. It would be a mistake to buy the newest
300mm equipment till all the bugs are worked out or the cost of
improving and upgrading it to a "production worthy" status would
be cost prohibitive, both from an equipment and engineering resource
perspective.<

How will this appoach impacts bottom line in the shortrun and longrun?

>Will fabs upgrade? Eventually. Why will they upgrade? To improve
process capability, yields, and PROFITS. Is it imperative that new
fabs be built today to handle 300mm and sub 0.25uM device geometries?
NO! But in 1-2 years YES.

Good response, Big Buck.

Paul V.



To: Big Bucks who wrote (13731)12/21/1997 7:23:00 PM
From: davesd  Respond to of 70976
 
Buck, any new fabs will have the latest and greatest production worthy tools...but I doubt that FABs are going to retire 200mm, .30u tools anytime soon to replace them will 200mm, .25u tools.

At this point in theory we can say that FABs can make more chips with .25u technology. However, we have no idea of the yeild and the COO of .25u tools vs .30u tools.

Maybe, when we take all the variable into consideration....it's cheaper to make DRAM with .30u than it is with the current .25u tools...maybe that is why DRAM production is still .3/.35u. The .25u tools may still need some improvement in the yeild area.

dave



To: Big Bucks who wrote (13731)12/21/1997 7:47:00 PM
From: Steve Robinett  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 70976
 
BB, Excellent post. And you're absolute right the biggest problem facing AMAT in Asia is the credit crunch. The debt load of particular fabs will determine their ability to survive. I suspect the fabs will get a bit of government help before it's over.
Best
-Steve
Sorry about the Dan Quail spelling of potato. You might try potato chips. I hear they're fab.