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Gold/Mining/Energy : International Rochester Energy Corp. (T. ROH) -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Ditchdigger who wrote (287)12/22/1997 7:16:00 PM
From: Ed Ajootian  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 934
 
DD,

Not sure where the rumor started. I first heard it re: PKC, about 3 -4 months ago. With ROH still down as low as it is, way below the intrinsic value of their reserves (as shown by Strain's break-up value computation), it is only logical to think about a HEC buyout of ROH.

The fact that this field (the Palo Blanco) will likely be the first producing field that HEC has in Colombia (ie, "in-country production", as Mikel referred to it in his release), points even more to a HEC buyout. The spotlight is on them now and everyone is saying "great hits Mikel, but where's the production?". If he buys ROH and PKC he doubles the production that he would otherwise get from this field.

BTW, now they are saying first production (by trucks) will be January.

Not sure where the buyout price would end up. He has intentionally withheld releasing the results of the study he had done on the Palo Blanco so as to keep ROH and PKC stock prices low. He will only release the bare minimum amount of information on the Palo Blanco activity as we go forward, with this same goal in mind.

There is a good chance the news on this Estero #3 well will get delayed significantly beyond when the well is actually tested. This is because with the Catalina well due to be done right around the same time as the Estero, Mikel may hold off releasing news of the Estero results to see what happens with the Catalina well first. That way, if the Catalina well is NG, then he can at least say in the very next breath that he hit a massive well in Palo Blanco.

A buyout before the Antejeos results are out (ie the next exploratory well) would be way premature IMO and I would fight it fiercely, FWIW. Until that thing is drilled it is impossible to fairly value this company. Since that is gonna spud in February its likely that we won't have to worry about a buyout occurring beforehand.

Everyone who's waiting by the sidelines waiting for the tax loss selling to subside may be in for a rude awakening come next week. I really feel this stock is gonna bolt out of the gates once the bullshit is over, and seek its proper valuation. Only two more shopping days until the rally starts folks!



To: Ditchdigger who wrote (287)12/22/1997 9:19:00 PM
From: Jeff  Respond to of 934
 
The rumour came from with-in a brokerage house. Take that for what it's worth but I believe (IMO!)it's highly feasable. Since striking deals with ROH and PKC Harken has decided not to share the risk (or the wealth) on subsequent holes. Harken believes! As we do.



To: Ditchdigger who wrote (287)12/23/1997 10:55:00 AM
From: Timelord  Respond to of 934
 
[Off topic]

Mornin DD. Sorry to clutter up this thread, but Red Sea Oil (ASE:RSO) reached target depth on their Libyan well and things look very rosy. The odds of a commercial well are very high based on initial well logs. Heavy oil shows in three zones, testing begun last night to take about 30 days, 5 drill stem tests planned. I listened in on a conference call with the Lundin family yesterday morning and they were guardedly excited about the prospects for this discovery - not wanting to "count their chickens..." I'm trying not to get giddy also. RSO is 50% owned by IRPPF, Sands Petroleum is 40% partner in the well (RSO and Sands own 100% of the rights). FWIW.

Alex