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Politics : Formerly About Advanced Micro Devices -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: Brumar89 who wrote (885018)	9/4/2015 11:42:24 AM
From: Brumar89	1 Recommendation Recommended By FJB Read Replies (1) \| Respond to of 1583494

President, Your Pants Are On Fire! September 4, 2015 tags: alaska By Paul Homewood Seeing as how it is topical at the moment, here are some facts about Alaska that the Messiah and David Holub apparently aren’t aware of: 1) It was at least as warm, and probably warmer in the Middle Ages there than now. According to the paper, “ Surface air temperature variability reconstructed with tree rings for the Gulf of Alaska over the past 1200 years”: The work of the seven scientists revealed a number of centennial trends that included "a warm interval centered on AD 950 for coastal Alaska that occurred around the time of the Medieval Warm Period," and which "for the first time," as they describe it, "includes a divergence-free view of contemporary warming that is ongoing and is comparable to the MWP." But from the graph of their results, it can be seen that the peak warmth of the MWP was actually slightly greater than the peak warmth of the Current Warm Period (CWP). Further evidence of this fact is provided by the recent discovery of the remains of trees as the glaciers retreat, which are carbon dated back to that time, both at the Exit Glacier and the Juneau. 2) Alaskan Glaciers Began Retreating Around 1770AD Many studies show that glaciers in Alaska began advancing in the 14thC, until reaching their maximum in the late 18thC, for instance here and here. It is also believed that there was a temporary readvance in the late 19thC. According to Wiles et al: The late LIA advance resulted in moraine building at nine of the study glaciers between ad 1874 and 1895. These moraines mark the greatest known extent reached by six of the study glaciers; moraines of earlier less extensive advances were presumably destroyed during this late LIA advance. At Billings, Taylor and Langdon-Kings Glaciers the c. 1890 moraine is the largest or only ridge nested within the early eighteenth-century moraine (Figure 3). Ice margins were generally close to the late LIA maximum position at the time of the first visits of scientific parties around the turn of the century”. It is also well established that most of the glacial retreat took place long before recent decades. https://notalotofpeopleknowthat.wordpress.com/2014/05/21/lying-accelerates-at-the-nyt/ 3) Temperature Trends According to the Federal National Climate Assessment: Over the past 60 years, Alaska has warmed more than twice as rapidly as the rest of the United States, with state-wide average annual air temperature increasing by 3°F and average winter temperature by 6°F, with substantial year-to-year and regional variability. Most of the warming occurred around 1976 during a shift in a long-lived climate pattern (the Pacific Decadal Oscillation [PDO]) from a cooler pattern to a warmer one. As NOAA show, there has only been a tiny increase of 0.5F/Century between 1977 and 2013. http://www.ncdc.noaa.gov/cag/ Arguably, it might not even be increasing at all. The study by the Alaska Climate Research Center below shows that most sites have actually got cooler, a finding which again puts into doubt the veracity of NOAA’s homogenised version. http://climate.gi.alaska.edu/ClimTrends/Change/TempChange.html The only notable increase is at Barrow, where scientists have discovered that a massive UHI effect has distorted temperature measurements there. As the Alaska Climate Research Center also point out: Considering just a linear trend can mask some important variability characteristics in the time series. The figure at right shows clearly that this trend is non-linear: a linear trend might have been expected from the fairly steady observed increase of CO2 during this time period. The figure shows the temperature departure from the long-term mean (1949-2009) for all stations. It can be seen that there are large variations from year to year and the 5-year moving average demonstrates large increase in 1976. The period 1949 to 1975 was substantially colder than the period from 1977 to 2009, however since 1977 little additional warming has occurred in Alaska with the exception of Barrow and a few other locations. The stepwise shift appearing in the temperature data in 1976 corresponds to a phase shift of the Pacific Decadal Oscillation from a negative phase to a positive phase. Synoptic conditions with the positive phase tend to consist of increased southerly flow and warm air advection into Alaska during the winter, resulting in positive temperature anomalies. http://climate.gi.alaska.edu/ClimTrends/Change/TempChange.html 4) Record Temperatures Just for good measure, the official record highest temperature in Alaska was 100F, set at Fort Yukon in 1915! http://www.ncdc.noaa.gov/extremes/scec/records Apparently the Messiah does not worry about anything as inconvenient as facts! One last thing. The National Climate Assessment quoted above states: Energy production is the main driver of the state’s economy, providing more than 80% of state government revenue and thousands of jobs. I wonder what will happen to all those jobs in our new, glorious decarbonised future? notalotofpeopleknowthat.wordpress.com

To: Brumar89 who wrote (885018)	9/4/2015 11:48:35 AM
From: FJB	2 Recommendations Recommended By Bonefish Brumar89 Read Replies (1) \| Respond to of 1583494

They should point out their record is only 44 years old - not to mention the doctored data. But 44/4,500,000,000 is insignificant...

To: Brumar89 who wrote (885018)	9/4/2015 11:53:09 AM
From: Wharf Rat	Read Replies (1) \| Respond to of 1583494

"For a month now we have been reading in the media about how July was the hottest month in recorded history." That's cuz it's only been a month since it happened. Here's some stuff that's apparently been overlooked. Select national information is highlighted below. (Please note that different countries report anomalies with respect to different base periods. The information provided here is based directly upon these data): Austria recorded its hottest July since national records began in 1767. The average temperature was 3.0°C (5.0°F) higher than the 1981–2010 average, beating the previous record of +2.7°C (+4.9°F) set just a few years earlier in 2006. Two major heatwaves, with temperatures reaching 38°C (100°F), contributed to this heat record. At some stations in major cities, including Innsbruck University, Linz, and Klagenfurt, it was not only the hottest July, but the hottest month ever recorded in the 249-year period of record. On July 7th, the daily temperature reached 38.2°C (100.8°F) in Innsbruck, its highest temperature in recorded history.The heat waves extended to France, where the country had its third warmest July in its 116-year period of record. Overall, the temperature was 2.1°C (3.8°F) higher than the 1981–2010 average, with localized departures of more than 4°C (7°F) in the Massif Central to the North East and the Alps, according to MeteoFrance. The Netherlands also experienced abnormally hot July temperatures at the beginning of the month. Under an intense heat wave that gripped much of western and central Europe, the southeastern town of Maastricht observed a temperature of 38.2°C (100.8°F) on July 2nd the highest temperature on record for that town and one of the highest for the country. The highest temperature ever recorded was 38.6°C (101.5°F) in Warnsveld in 1944. The heat did not last however. The temperature was below 0°C (32°F) at a station in Twente in the eastern part of the country on July 9th and 10th, the first time the temperature dropped below freezing in July since 1984.Record-breaking heat was observed in parts of the southern United Kingdom at the beginning of July, including the highest temperature recorded in the country since August 2003. However, the heat did not last as westerly Atlantic air flowed in, bringing cooler-than-average temperatures for much of the remainder of the month. So, despite the early record heat, overall, the average July temperature for the UK was 0.7°C (1.1°F) lower than the 1981–2010 average.Despite a heatwave over part of Sweden at the beginning of the month, temperatures remained cool for the reminder of July across much of the country. While temperatures across southeastern Sweden were slightly above average, other areas, particularly in the far north, were not. Pajala observed its coolest July since 1965 and Gaddede its coolest since 1951, although SMHI notes that the station has been relocated a few times over the years. Norway experienced cooler-than-average temperatures for the third consecutive month. The average July temperature was 0.7°C (1.1°F) lower than the 1961–1990 average. Temperatures were as much as 3°C (5°F) below average at some stations in Finnmark.A high pressure dome over the Middle East brought what may be one of the most extreme heat indices ever recorded in the world on July 31st. According to media reports, in the city of Bandar Mahshahr, the air temperature of 46°C (115°F) combined with a dew point of 32°C (90°F) for a heat index on 74°C (165°F). The highest known heat index of 81°C (178°F) occurred in Dhahran, Saudi Arabia on July 8th, 2003. ncdc.noaa.gov First read. I'm not sure how close Nick comes to the official numbers. Japanese should come out with the first official report in a few days. Global surface August - NCEP/NCAR index up 0.14°C Here are the results for the Moyhu NCEP/NCAR reanalysis index for August. It looked for a while to be a record breaking month, with steady warmth. But then there was a sudden late cool spell, apparently mostly Antarctica, and then an equally sudden recovery to warmth. The end result was 0.306°C, a big rise from July's 0.164. That is just slightly cooler (in this record) than May 2014 at 0.315°C. But it is the warmest for 2015 so far. It makes a slight difference month-month what anomaly base period is used, and so the M oyhu table gives results also on the 1951-80 base (gor GISS) and 1961-90 (NOAA Mlost). So the comparable GISS-base number would be 0.87°C. But as mentioned in earlier posts, the NCEP index, being air temperature, has been running rather cool relative to the land/ocean indices which using the warm current SST. So I would not be surprised if GISS were even higher - maybe even 0.9°C. The record GISS anomaly is Jan 2007 at 0.96°C. ps This post is a little later than usual. The volatility meant that I wanted to go right to the end of month, and the last day of NCEP/NCAR was posted a little late at NOAA. moyhu.blogspot.com

To: Brumar89 who wrote (885018)	9/4/2015 9:30:47 PM
From: Wharf Rat	Respond to of 1583494

Rare September Heat Wave Scorches Europe Meteorological summer is over in Europe, but a rare and extraordinarily intense heat wave has kept its grip on much of the continent during early September. Hundreds of European cities broke all-time September heat records the past three days; some stations with long periods of record exceeding a century saw their records smashed by 7 - 8°F--"a margin rarely seen before in the world," in the words of weather records researcher Maximiliano Herrera, who has been tabulating the new records. Figure 3. Historians recover relics from the 17th century on the bed of the Vistula River in Warsaw, Poland on September 3, 2015. The water level of the Vistula, Poland's largest river, is at its lowest level since measurements began in 1789, due to severe drought conditions. The treasures being excavated were looted by an invading Swedish army in the mid-17th century and got buried in the Vistula when a Swedish barge sank. Jewish tombstones and wreckage from a WWII fighter plane have also been uncovered this summer from the Vistula and its tributaries due to the low water levels. Image credit: JANEK SKARZYNSKI/AFP/Getty Images. September 1, 2015: a rare day in the annuals of climatology The carnage began on September 1, with September national heat records falling in eight countries. Notably, the new national heat record set in Lithuania was more than 3°C (5.4°F) higher than the previous September record--an astonishing margin for a monthly national record in a nation with dozens of reliable stations with a period of record extending back nearly 150 years. Here are the eight nations that set new September all-time heat records on September 1, 2015, according to Maximiliano Herrera: Moldova: Tiraspol, 38.4°C (101.1°F) Ukraine: Voznesens'k, 38.8°C (101.8°F) Austria: Pottschach, 36.0°C (96.8°F) Czech Republic: Javornik, 37.4°C (99.3°F) Slovakia: Michalovce, 36.4°C (97.5°F) Poland: Tarnow, 36.8°C (98.2°F) Belarus: Zitkovici, 35.6°C (96.1°F) Lithuania: Druskininkai, 35.1°C (95.2°F) All-time September heat records were smashed at individual stations in many other countries, including Russia, Romania, Bulgaria, Serbia, Montenegro, Macedonia, Kosovo, Bosnia and Herzegovina, Croatia, Slovenia, Italy, San Marino, Hungary, and Germany, with 48 stations in Germany alone setting new all-time September heat records (thanks go to Dr. Michael Theusner for this stat.) Some stations with more than a century of data even managed to beat their ABSOLUTE records for any month. Figure 4. Severe drought had much of Europe in its grip by mid-August, 2015. Image credit: European Drought Observatory. September 2 and beyond: more record heat The incredible heat continued on September 2, shifting eastwards some, with a 38.6°C (101.5°F) at Falesti, Moldava beating that nation's all-time September heat record set just the previous day. Ukraine tied its national record, just set the previous day. The extreme heat backed off considerably on September 3 and 4, but will build back in again over Southeast Europe over the weekend, with more all-time September heat records likely to fall. European drought cost this summer: $2.7 billion It's been a incredible summer for extreme heat in Europe, with Germany setting its all-time heat record (twice), and with hundreds of stations having long periods of record setting all-time heat records. The heat has been responsible for hundreds of heat deaths in Europe, and according to the August 2015 Catastrophe Report from insurance broker Aon Benfield, drought in Romania, Poland, and the Czech Republic this summer has cost at least $2.7 billion--just below the $3 billion price tag of the California drought. We’ll be back with an update on the tropics on Saturday. Have a great Labor Day weekend! I'll be on the Weather Underground TV show ( #WUTV on Twitter) tonight on The Weather Channel. The show airs between 6:00 and 8:00 pm EDT. If you don’t have access to TWC on cable, you can still access selected clips from each episode, live streaming of online-only content, and a WUTV chatroom, all on the Weather Underground WUTV website. wunderground.com