SI
SI
discoversearch

We've detected that you're using an ad content blocking browser plug-in or feature. Ads provide a critical source of revenue to the continued operation of Silicon Investor.  We ask that you disable ad blocking while on Silicon Investor in the best interests of our community.  If you are not using an ad blocker but are still receiving this message, make sure your browser's tracking protection is set to the 'standard' level.
Politics : Formerly About Advanced Micro Devices -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Brumar89 who wrote (897813)11/1/2015 5:01:37 PM
From: Land Shark  Respond to of 1574478
 
Message 30299489



To: Brumar89 who wrote (897813)11/1/2015 5:18:26 PM
From: Land Shark  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 1574478
 
LMAO----Anthony Watts has discovered pristine US temperature (and MS Excel)
Anthony Watts has discovered pristine US temperature (and MS Excel)Sou | 7:47 AM Go to the first of 34 comments. Add a comment

Today, after having no opinion on whether or not greenhouse gases work, Anthony Watts has decided to get an opinion. In his opinion the US temperature record maintained by NOAA is pristine. That is, the NOAA Climate Reference Network is pristine. Just how long he'll think it will remain pristine is the question. He wrote an article (archived here) with the headline: "Despite attempts to erase it globally, “the pause” still exists in pristine US surface temperature data"

This time Anthony had nothing but praise for the scientists who work at NOAA. (He did sneak in some snide comments verging on the defamatory by implication. He's got to keep his disreputable reputation intact.) His praise was only because he liked what he saw or he would have hidden it from his readers. He saw a temperature chart from 2005 to 2014 and figured that was good enough for his purposes. Anthony wrote:

But, what if there were a dataset of temperature that was so well done, so scientifically accurate, and so completely free of bias that by its design, there would never be any need nor justification for any adjustments to the data?
Such a temperature record exists, it is called the U.S. Climate Reference Network, (USCRN) and it is also operated by NOAA/NCDC’s (NCEI) head administrator,Tom Karl:
Given that Anthony has been busy for years trying to prove that the record isn't pristine, this is a bit of an about face. Is he admitting defeat? You might think so, mightn't you. Let's come back in five years time, and see if Anthony still says the data is pristine.

Data source: =uscrn¶meter=anom-tavg&time_scale=p12&begyear=2005&endyear=2015&month=12]NOAA


Here is a comparison of the pristine with the non-pristine, on an annual basis. I'll let you spot the difference:

Data source: =uscrn&datasets[]=climdiv&datasets[]=cmbushcn¶meter=anom-tavg&time_scale=p12&begyear=2005&endyear=2015&month=12]NOAA


OMG. Anthony Watts is right. The USA temperature has paused! Ooh, it's worse than that - it's cooling!

Let's just see how much the USA has cooled over the past 120 years. If you read WUWT you'll probably think the USA is practically in an ice age.

What you won't see at WUWT
Deniers are in denial. That's not hard to figure out. That's why they are called deniers after all. Have another look at the chart up top. Notice anything? There are two months in the past five years where it wasn't just hot, it was extraordinarily hot. More than 7 degrees Fahrenheit above the 1981-2010 mean.

Here is something else - Anthony Watts won't show you the chart over the longer term, will he. It's not the climate reference network because that only goes from 2005. It's derived from the thousands of other weather stations in the USA. You can see from the chart above how little difference there was between the climate reference network and the other two over the period they overlapped, so it should be reasonably good:

Data source: =uscrn¶meter=anom-tavg&time_scale=p12&begyear=2005&endyear=2015&month=12]NOAA

Rather than cooling or pausing, it looks more as if the USA is well and truly out of any cold spell. The zero line is the 1981-2010 mean - and it's barely touched it in the past few years. It's been getting hot in the USA lately, hasn't it.

And did he say one word about the amazingly hot year in the USA, in the middle of his pause the average temperature shot up to more than 2F above the average for 1981-2010. I mean we're not talking the twentieth century average - that's above an average that was itself quite a bit hotter. It must be an odd sort of pause, wouldn't you say?

Here it is again, in case you missed it. This time charted as an anomaly from the twentieth century mean - 2012 was more than 3F above the twentieth century mean.

Data source: =uscrn¶meter=anom-tavg&time_scale=p12&begyear=2005&endyear=2015&month=12]NOAA

Addendum
The chart above didn't register with everyone, so here's a decadal chart of US temperatures. The decade from 2005 to 2014 was the hottest on record.

Data source: =uscrn¶meter=anom-tavg&time_scale=p12&begyear=2005&endyear=2015&month=12]NOAA


Added by Sou 15 June 5:54 pm.

And Anthony Watts doesn't seem to have noticed, but it's been getting mighty warm in the west lately. This is something you'll probably never ever see at WUWT:

Data source: NOAA


How's that for warming. Almost four degrees Fahrenheit above the twentieth century mean last year. No wonder the Californian drought is so bad.

More than 70% of Anthony's home state is in extreme drought and almost 50% in exceptional drought.

Source: US Drought Monitor