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Biotech / Medical : Ligand (LGND) Breakout! -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Machaon who wrote (12811)12/23/1997 2:28:00 PM
From: Andrew H  Respond to of 32384
 
>>With biotechs at these bargain, basement prices, perhaps we get the "Mother of all Biotech rallies" next year. At least we can hope, right?<<

Yeah, at least we can hope. It will sure take a change in sentiment. But biotechs usually rally in January.



To: Machaon who wrote (12811)12/23/1997 2:39:00 PM
From: David Bogdanoff  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 32384
 
To all;

Why are biotechs falling seems to be the current theme on this thread.
I will add my inflation devalued 2 cents worth. The general high market value makes people generally nervous and prone to sell perceived weaker stocks on the slightest bad news, nomatter how unrelated. The Asian crises certainly falls into this category of bad
news, even though it is unrelated to business prospects for the biotechs. The biotechs would generally be perceived as weak or speculative because most of them are months or years away before marketing their first product, and their products are not typically well understod (i.e they are not soft drinks). The timing of the Asian crises playes right into the hands of the tax loss sellers at the end of the year. It seems to me that these are enough reasons for the current biotech selloff even though their business prospects have not been adversely effected by the above mentioned circumstances. In fact, as has been mentioned on this thread, the low interest rates favor their prospects, plus recent government FDA regulation changes substantially favor these prospects since they should be able to get products to market faster and with less expense.

Just my opinion.

David



To: Machaon who wrote (12811)12/24/1997 8:43:00 AM
From: Henry Niman  Respond to of 32384
 
Biotechs are weak in Europe also. The large number of failures in advanced clinical trials has affected the sector in the US as well as the UK:

Biotechnology: Further gloom for sector

TUESDAY DECEMBER 23 1997

By Daniel Green

The shares of Biocompatibles and Scotia fell sharply yesterday, underlining the
difficulties of the UK biotechnology sector.

Scotia shares fell 52«p to 265p in response to the announcement after the
market closed on Friday that health regulators had blocked the launch of
Tarabetic, a drug to treat diabetes. The shares touched 735p at their 1997
peak in January.

Biocompatibles lost another 20p to 457«p as the company issued a statement
saying sales would not reach planned targets, and that a partnership with a
mainstream pharmaceuticals company was still some way off. Biocompatibles'
shares peaked in April at œ14.18.

The gloom spread across almost the entire sector, even affecting companies
which have enjoyed a relatively good year, such as Cortecs and Chiroscience.
There has been a series of failures in clinical trials this year, the most important
of which was Celltech's drug to treat septic shock, abandoned in May.

The biotechnology sector has a history of volatility. Although some companies,
such as Scotia, have sales, stock market valuations are based more on the
perceived prospects of drugs in research.

Scotia's Tarabetic was aimed at patients suffering from the nerve damage
caused by diabetes. The Medicines Control Agency, which oversees the sale
of medicines in the UK, first blocked its approval in March. At the time,
David Horrobin, Scotia chief executive, said he and some diabetes experts felt
the evidence from clinical trials was strong enough to warrant approval. On
Friday, the MCA disagreed and confirmed the block.

This month Dr Horrobin announced he was leaving the company he founded
in 1979. The Horrobin family intends to sell its 17 per cent stake in Scotia
over the next few years.

Biocompatibles' share price has been weak since the company announced in
September that its talks to form a partnership with Johnson & Johnson, the
US health care products company, had been largely abandoned.
Biocompatibles makes a plastic coating friendly to the human body. The
coating is used to cover stents (wire mesh implants to hold open blood
vessels), catheters and contact lenses. J&J is one of the world's big stent
suppliers.

Alistair Taylor, chief executive, said yesterday that Biocompatibles was
holding talks with several other companies which might lead to the formation
of two partnerships to develop and distribute its stents, one for heart products
and one for other products.

The contact lens side was having mixed fortunes too, held back by "slower
than expected" sales in the US.