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Technology Stocks : Semi-Equips - Buy when BLOOD is running in the streets! -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Ian@SI who wrote (4114)12/24/1997 8:33:00 AM
From: Proud_Infidel  Respond to of 10921
 
Re:Seriously, I believe the market has already priced some indefinite
pushouts (not cancellations however) from Korean chipmakers.


Ian,

IMO, that is the understatement of the year. Assuming there are HUGE #'s of Korean pushouts and this adversely affects AMAT's top line, it would account for ~10% of revs. The stock is down ~50% from its high. Either we are going to see many other countries announcing pushouts(the Street was correct in their pricing) or we will see moderate pushouts from Korea and a retracement bacu up of AMAT's share price once the Street realizes it went too far in its evisceration of the equipment cos. Once this realization sets in IMO, we will again see upgrades and the SOX Rocket take off.

Regards,

Brian

DISCALIMER: Over the past 12 months, I've been wrong more often than right<G> Am Long AMAT and other equips in a BIG way so opinions may be biased.



To: Ian@SI who wrote (4114)12/24/1997 9:07:00 AM
From: Proud_Infidel  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 10921
 
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Hopefully the new year will bring more prosperity than the previous two months<G>