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Strategies & Market Trends : Value Investing -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: inspbudget who wrote (56342)12/7/2015 11:28:23 AM
From: robert b furman  Respond to of 78747
 
Good analyst on Bloomberg this morning said midstream stocks are definitely being thrown out with the water.

Tax loss selling creating a "buy" opportunity.

KMI

Blood in the streets - reminds me of semi selloff in 2000.

Bob



To: inspbudget who wrote (56342)12/7/2015 11:49:10 AM
From: E_K_S  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 78747
 
capitulation?

Picked up another small chunk of KMIpA @ $33.37/share. Based on their mandatory conversion (in 36 months) you get 1.81 KMI common shares for each KMIpA share. That's $18.44/share and you get your guaranteed dividends for next 36 months.

Also followed Spekulatius into another buy of Spectra Energy Corp. (SE) @ $ 22.67/share. Probably one of the less leverage pipeline companies but still getting sold (new 52wk low). The 6.5% div yield s/d be sustainable but hard to tell as the whole sector getting hammered.

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I also added to my AG REIT American Farmland Company (AFCO) Friday at $7.08/share. I like the sector and am buying 15% below the original IPO price. Position is small. The land values must be adjusted to reflect how expensive it is to get both pistachios & walnut orchards into production. One Ag farmer told me that it is as much as $30K per acre (in direct expenses and opportunity costs) to plant a crop of Hazelnuts and wait the three years before production starts. Trees will produce for 25 years.

AFCO owns a few orchards that are producing nuts. They also have other raw acreage under development that will be another 36 months before they can harvest.

Both Farmland Partners Inc. (FPI) & AFCO have their land leases at fixed annual rates plus a kicker based on % of revenues from production yields. It will be interesting to see how their revenues look after one annual crop rotation both for (specialty & row crops). The 2016 estimates for row crops (corn & soybeans) will be quite low as these commodity prices or at multi year lows. I am hoping that the annual nut crop revenues will help increase total revenues.
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The value proposition for all of these companies are impacted by many external variables, so it's hard to know if/when one is making a good Buy. It seems like that only months/years after the fact you really know.

EKS