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Strategies & Market Trends : Value Investing -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: benbuffett who wrote (56373)12/12/2015 6:04:41 PM
From: Spekulatius  Respond to of 78748
 
BNSF is already too large, I don't think they they can take over a major US railroad. My concern with the railroads is that there is no true organic growth, it's all price increases at this point.
With lower diesel prices, I think the truckers will become more competitive (moving by truck is faster than RR too), so I think they may be done raising prices for now.

Then we have coal,which is weak and crude is going to be moved by pipelines eventually where rail cannot be competitive in the long run. Even now, the RR are still valued as a secular growth play, which I think is questionable. I think I would rather look at some industrial stocks right now.



To: benbuffett who wrote (56373)12/14/2015 12:27:17 AM
From: Jurgis Bekepuris  Respond to of 78748
 
Rails are somewhat attractive. Prices are not supercheap, but they dropped quite a bit. I'll probably just be satisfied with BNSF inside BRK that I already hold. Might buy others in the future if they continue dropping as Spekulatius expects. Keep posting if prices drop more. :)



To: benbuffett who wrote (56373)12/14/2015 3:29:12 PM
From: gcrispin  Respond to of 78748
 
Think railroads, think coal. Look at the price of NG today and keep in mind the climate change accord that was just signed.

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