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Strategies & Market Trends : Dividend investing for retirement -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Steve Felix who wrote (24172)1/5/2016 6:13:41 PM
From: JimisJim  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 34328
 
<Expect I will just hang out there unless/until oil comes around.>... when, not if, energy rebounds it will more than make up for the last 18 mos. easily... this is the way of the sector and happens every single time there's a bust... now, don't get me wrong, I don't see any sign of "bottom" in the sector any sooner than mid year and it could bounce along the bottom a lot longer -- maybe into 2017 or so -- but when it comes back, as it always does after a major bust, it will start out slowly, but end up well above what anyone expects at the moment and eventual total returns will be enormous -- there is a once or twice in a lifetime opportunity in the sector approaching and I am patiently waiting to take advantage of it... first we need a bigger and broader washout in terms of M&A and BKs in the sector as stronger hands (and balance sheets) take the assets from the weaker (highly leveraged) hands -- the assets aren't going anywhere and despite increasing efficiencies, etc., demand for oil worldwide isn't going to go to zero in our lifetime unless someone invents cost-efficient cold fusion or something equally disruptive -- not saying it can't or won't happen, but not likely to reach ubiquitous market penetration in our lifetimes for sure...

On a related note -- I am overweight energy in my divvy PF as it is and although the market value of my combined PFs took a hit this past year because of that, my divvy income increased 16.67% YoY and all of those divvies ended up buying significantly more shares to generate future income precisely because the share prices were down, but not the divvies... KMI being the big exception in that respect -- I only have half the shares I used to have, but will hang onto that as the current yield ain't that bad even now...