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To: Boplicity who wrote (26340)12/24/1997 5:41:00 PM
From: Meathead  Read Replies (3) | Respond to of 176388
 
There will be big opportunity in home servers however, IMO
it won't happen as soon as I'd like to see it. It only makes
sense and would be a logical next step but there's a few
hurdles. Likely, 5 years before it really changes our home
to server-centric control rather than scattered single PCs.
By this time, Internet appliances will be hot items as well.

This will undoubtedly expand the market well beyond what single
powerful Desktop PCs are capable of. Believe it or not,
there will be tremendous margin and profit opportunities all
over the place... more than today. The reason being
Moores law. Once a product technology matures, it needs no more power, just refinements, prices will collapse to achieve WW penetration. But Moores law is still alive and kickin and there's still a lotta stuff that hasn't even been invented yet.
Selling 1 Billion $99 Internet appliances will not kill the need
for computing power. Margins will be all over the place and depend
on what market you're developing product for and selling into.

My only beef with the article is they underestimate the potential
capabilities of a home server therefore, underestimate the power
needed. The home server will need to be able to simultaneously
run your home entertainment center in the living room, bedroom,
family room (DVD, Interactive TV, stereo), compute intensive
games, web surfing, productivity apps etc. at all of the PC
terminals throughout the house. It will also need to control
all home climate control, appliances, lighting, security, etc.
etc.

With the introduction of USB and Firewire, conceiveably,
everything from your toaster to the engine control unit diagnostics
of your automobile will plug into server control. Communication
ports in the home will be as ubiquitous as power outlets.

You get the idea, start looking around your home and you quickly
realize how much of a burden a server could become
tasked with.... and if it can be done... it will be done.

With that in mind... obviously a home server would need very
fast I/O throughput and tremendous storage capacity. As well,
CPU burden would not be trivial either... to run multiple
applications simultaneously, smoothly, multiple CPU's will
be needed... minimum a 2 way system, probably 4 way on
average with future scalability options.

Yes but memory and HD space is cheap you say. Look for
memory requirements in the 1 to 4 Gigabyte range and HD
space in the 100GigaByte range. In 5 years, this won't
be too expensive but it will be equivelant to a $3000
system today.

Believe it or not, the fatter and faster the pipe becomes,
the CPU power required to adequately manipulate
the content to our satisfaction increases.

MEATHEAD



To: Boplicity who wrote (26340)12/24/1997 5:57:00 PM
From: Diamond Jim  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 176388
 
uh huh, and someday we won't need cars. We'll just transport via our hovercraft mobiles. It just sounds a bit far fetched. Seems it may be okay for new homes but that has to be years off right now.

jim