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Strategies & Market Trends : John Pitera's Market Laboratory -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: The Ox who wrote (17710)1/22/2016 2:22:13 PM
From: isopatch6 Recommendations

Recommended By
Arran Yuan
benwood
Davy Crockett
LJM
roguedolphin

and 1 more member

  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 33421
 
There're longer term charts, of course. The point I was trying to highlight with that particular 5 yr chart is the "cultural lag" that takes place whenever there's a into a, long, primary, deflationary trend. The main driver is excessive and still growing aggregate debt across the world.

For a more detailed exploration of this, and other valuable insights into multi-decade cycles which have recurred, over the centuries, since the European Medieval Period? Suggest you read: The Great Wave, by Fisher.

amazon.com

Just finished reading it for the 2nd time, a week or two ago. Rarely do that other than with the most important conceptual research.

Not offended you think I've been "suckered" into the views I hold...) It's never been my desire to change anyone's mind. Simply state my views and leave the rest to readers to come to whatever conclusions they think best serve their investment success.

No offense intended. But, as you probably know, don't have time for extended back and forth postings about the validity or lack there of my ideas.

Speaking of which? Been posting more on SI, lately, than usual. Overdue to log off, for awhile, to take care of some real world things.

All the best,

Iso



To: The Ox who wrote (17710)2/8/2016 2:40:44 PM
From: John Pitera2 Recommendations

Recommended By
roguedolphin
The Ox

  Respond to of 33421
 
so last summer we had the IBB at a blow off top with a 4 standard deviation of it's 200 DMA.

Message 30157794

To: isopatch who wrote (17116)7/21/2015 9:18:33 PM
From: John P3 RecommendationsRecommended By
isopatch
mary-ally-smith
roguedolphin

of 17747
The IBB index is looks like it's reach a 4 standard deviation above it's 200 DMA

We have 5 stocks that add up to $2 trillion dollars of market capitalization. We have the type of momentum
stock market valuations and market action which is occurring that has in my estimation last occurred in
199-2000 and then you have to really go back to the wild go-go market of 1967-68... where the top 10 stocks
appreciated 10,000 % and all were over bubble stocks that were out of business by 1972.



Now we have the IBB having a massive bear market and pulling into it's 200 WEEK Moving average just below this area...... It is now getting overdone and we should certainly see short covering occurring in that area..... We are at an area that should be an excellent buying opportunity.......... for traders you have an opportunity to look at longs with a stop

If China is going to have a large currency devaluation..... and or we are seeing a major Banks like Deutsche Bank , Credit Suisse... BNP Paribas blow up or one of several Asian banks then we take have this even more significant market debacle.

as you most profoundly have stated a number of times... we should be watching what the markets are doing.... and evaluate the data and price action as time unfolds.



John