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Technology Stocks : Semi Equipment Analysis -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: The Ox who wrote (71479)2/7/2016 11:16:29 AM
From: Gottfried3 Recommendations

Recommended By
Donald Wennerstrom
Return to Sender
The Ox

  Respond to of 95406
 
[edited in] WSJ: Why a Recession Could Arrive Without a Yield Curve Warning
advfn.com

stockcharts.com
move pointer to bottom in '02 and '09 to see shape of curve that provides warning



To: The Ox who wrote (71479)2/7/2016 3:57:18 PM
From: Return to Sender3 Recommendations

Recommended By
Donald Wennerstrom
FJB
Gottfried

  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 95406
 
InvestmentHouse - Overall a Downtrend is Now in Place (Weekend Newsletter)

investmenthouse.com

Jobs miss, unemployment below 5%, victory declared, but the same old problems are present and more. And the market knows it.
- Foreign workers are not taking your jobs, but they are.
- A low pay, hourly job does not equal a middle class salaried breadwinner job.
- NASDAQ now at its post QE3 lowest.
- DJ30 hanging in thanks to money moving to beaten down areas, but it won't be a refuge forever.
- Sharp Friday selloff can lead to a relief bounce or more downside, but overall a downtrend is now in place.

Market Summary (continued)
NASDAQ broke to lower closing lows below the January closed and the August 2015 close. RUTX broke to a new 2016 and the lowest close since mid-2013. All indices lost more than 1% with NASDAQ sporting a rather startling 3.25% decline with NASDAQ 100 falling 3.44%.

SP500 -35.40, -1.85%
NASDAQ -146.42, -3.25%
DJ30 -211.61, -1.29%
SP400 -2.21%
RUTX -2.87%
SOX -3.53%

VOLUME: NYSE -5%, NASDAQ +13%. NASDAQ volume jumps well above average as the NASDAQ stocks get sold heavily.

A/D: NYSE -3.2:1, NASDAQ -4.4:1.

Friday looked bad, but while SP500 did not make a run at 1940 and sold 1.85%, it did hold over the January consolidation lows that formed after the initial rally off that selling. DJ30 hardly flinched, holding near its rebound highs. SP400 showed similar action while SOX performed similar to SP500, holding at the initial consolidation lows off the first January bounce.

What that shows is the continued rotation in the market from the big tech and NASDAQ names to older school names in metals, industrials, energy, utilities -- beaten down areas that are viewed as values. Values for now.

Read "The Daily" Entire Weekend Summary

Apologies, the link above takes me to last week's write up. Hopefully that will get fixed soon.


RtS



To: The Ox who wrote (71479)2/7/2016 4:32:38 PM
From: Return to Sender2 Recommendations

Recommended By
Donald Wennerstrom
Woody_Nickels

  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 95406
 
A bright spot: The Transports are actually slightly higher for the month.



If the transports could turn around here and actually begin a sustained move higher then the entire market does not need to go into a bear market at this time.

The likelihood of this happening is limited in my estimation but it could happen. There are some positives out there but the major market averages could easily move lower to join the majority of stocks in a bear market. After all unless the Fed steps up with QE-4 current policies are hardly lighting a fire under the economy.

And lets be honest the Fed has created a huge asset bubble without really increasing employment or earnings for the average consumer. Some of us investors have done well taking profits the last six years but be careful as those profits could easily disappear for those fully invested.

The idea is to buy low and sell high.

That requires selling.

RtS