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To: Tenchusatsu who wrote (922179)2/19/2016 1:50:00 PM
From: Wharf Rat  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 1577075
 
Help is on the way. This will help Cal Train go electric.

CHSRA Unveils 2016 Business Plan – and a Northern IOS

Feb 19th, 2016 | Posted by Robert Cruickshank
28 comments

The California High Speed Rail Authority yesterday unveiled its draft 2016 Business Plan – including the decision to move the Initial Operating Segment to Northern California.

The highlights, as described in the plan’s executive summary:

Funding – The funding authorized by the Governor and Legislature, by the federal government and the people of California is sufficient to deliver a high-speed rail line connecting the Silicon Valley to the Central Valley

Schedule – We now project starting passenger service on that line in 2025 instead of on a line between Merced and the San Fernanco Valley in 2022

Cost Estimates – Our capital cost estimates for building the Phase 1 system between San Francisco/Merced and Los Angles/Anaheim are lower than prior estimates

Those cost estimates, in fact, are $5.5 billion lower. The Authority proposes taking $2.1 billion of those savings and spending it on improvements in the Los Angeles to Anaheim corridor, so the final cost difference is $3.4 billion in savings.



The draft Business Plan also provides some details as to how the “Silicon Valley to Central Valley line” would operate – and how additional federal funding could help get that line to San Francisco and Bakersfield:

We determined that the line that we can fund and build within projected sources, and initiate revenue producing operations on quickly, is a line connecting the Silicon Valley (San Jose) to the Central Valley (at the existing Construction Package 4 southern construction terminus north of Bakersfield). The Silicon Valley to Central Valley line, from Diridon Station in San Jose to a station north of Bakersfield, which includes an interim facility that functions as a temporary station, meets Proposition 1A requirements including non-subsidized operations. It can be built with available funding from Proposition 1A bonds, federal funds and the continued anticipated Cap and Trade proceeds.

However, we believe the first operating line should extend further — from San Francisco to Bakersfield – and offer a one-seat ride between these two destinations. This extended line would significantly enhance ridership and revenues and therefore attract higher value private sector concession bids based on future discounted cash flows. Our goal is to construct that longer line. This will require the completion of the Caltrain modernization program/electrification project. It will also require approximately $2.9 billion of additional funding to extend the line to Bakersfield and for initial improvements in the San Jose to San Francisco corridor to allow operation of high-speed rail trains in the Caltrain corridor. Given the opportunity to leverage more ridership, revenue and private sector participation, we will seek federal funds to help complete the full San Francisco to Bakersfield line. If those additional funds are not forthcoming, we can and will still construct the Silicon Valley to Central Valley line described above.

So, basically, they have the money to build from Diridon Station to a temporary station just outside Bakersfield, and will seek additional federal funding to do those things. That might be tricky given the Republican Congress’s hostile attitude toward HSR.

Still, this business plan makes a ton of sense and it is extremely exciting to see that the CHSRA believes they can have an operating high speed rail line within 10 years. That will be huge. And if they can get those trains up to SF and to Bakersfield, all the better – and that will go a long way in getting the additional funding needed to close the gap and connect Bakersfield to Los Angeles.

That’s my quick take – what’s yours?

cahsrblog.com