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To: skelly who wrote (4843)12/28/1997 3:21:00 PM
From: Mark Bartlett  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 116753
 
Skelly,

<<A word of caution : My friend was also a great believer in BRE-X.>>

Perhaps he was a great believer in Bre-X .... but he is absolutely correct, if history is any guide at all, with respect to gold and deflation.

MB



To: skelly who wrote (4843)1/13/1998 12:55:00 AM
From: Ronald P. Margraf Sr.  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 116753
 
Hi Skelly,

Remember, if no one has any money to buy the goods then they are worth
nothing. When deflation finially hits, folks will be concentrating on paying
debt, not purchasing. You won't be able to give the stuff away and that
includes real estate. People can't borrow so there are no customers. Folks
with cash will be the pawn brokers and they will want it for 25-50cents
on the dollar or they won't buy. I've already gone through this in the
early 80s. Give you an example. When the gas crisis came in the 70s,
folks that owned airplane couldn't fly them because they couldn't get gas.
So they sold their planes. They where giving them away. You could pick
up a plane for 2500$. Real estate is the same way. The bank forecloses.
The problem is that there isn't anyone that has the money to buy them.
The bank sits on them and that is not good so the banks start to give them
away just to get their money back. Remember the money they lent out isn't
theirs. It is the depositors. They have to balance their sheets. You know
the rest with the bank bailouts.;-))))

Ron