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Strategies & Market Trends : John Pitera's Market Laboratory -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: The Ox who wrote (17827)3/4/2016 11:04:27 AM
From: John Pitera  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 33421
 
Ox, i think it's a question of metaphors...

I agree with you that we have had layer upon layer of misallocation of capital....... the larger overview of what Bill Gross is saying strikes me that he is saying the same thing....



so what do you make of the above chart and the magnitude of the swings..... and why am I not seeing that chart on Bloomberg, the WSJ on real clear money?

thanks for your always provocative and insightful thoughts.

John



To: The Ox who wrote (17827)3/7/2016 1:18:45 AM
From: John Pitera3 Recommendations

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The Ox

  Respond to of 33421
 
Ox, that was alot of money in the Rydex Bear Funds at the FEB low......and correspondingly not that much in the bull funds.

John

Sentiment Charts
DecisionPoint uses both survey-based sentiment data and the Rydex Total Asset report as proxies for investor sentiment. Significant market tops and bottoms are normally accompanied by extremes of investor sentiment which often signal reversals. For example, market participants are extremely bullish at tops, just before the market starts to head down. Basically, once everyone gets on the bandwagon, the wheels will generally fall off.

Investor Sentiment

Sentiment data is updated on Thursdays. Bullish signals occurs if the green bars fall below 35 (green line in upper section) or if the red bars exceed -50 (green line in lower section). Bearish signals occurs if the green bars exceed 55 (red line in upper section) or if the red bars don't cross -20 (red line in the lower section).

Rydex Total Asset Ratio

Using daily data from Rydex Mutual Funds inflows and outflows, this chart measures what real investors are doing with real money based on their opinion of the market. The Rydex Total Asset Ratio (black line) is calculated by adding together Rydex Money Market Assets (green) and Rydex Bear Funds Assets (blue) and then dividing that total by Rydex Bull Funds Assets (purple). The result is then plotted on an inverse scale so that bullish reading are up and bearish readings are down.