SI
SI
discoversearch

We've detected that you're using an ad content blocking browser plug-in or feature. Ads provide a critical source of revenue to the continued operation of Silicon Investor.  We ask that you disable ad blocking while on Silicon Investor in the best interests of our community.  If you are not using an ad blocker but are still receiving this message, make sure your browser's tracking protection is set to the 'standard' level.
Strategies & Market Trends : General market lab and commentary -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Robohogs who wrote (245)3/7/2016 2:27:53 AM
From: Robohogs  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 668
 
Stuff:

  1. Brazil up 20% so far in March AND same YTD
  2. Russia and Canada - two oil mkts - both up YTD
  3. S&P Midcap up YTD with SPX 500 and small caps just down now
  4. EEM also up YTD along with BRIC
  5. Value up YTD - Midcap, small cap and Dow divvies
  6. SPX 500 equal weight flat
  7. Financials and healthcare getting killed still but rest of sectors barely down or up

With SPY now 7% away from ATH, 5% with dividends, and a full 10-11% off lows, we are now closer to the highs than the lows. Yet, most keep treating the market as if it is in a world of hurt (4 2 letter i words in a row!). QQQ and broader indices still have more work to do, although QQQ is closer to high than low too.

Jon

PS We are as overbought as I have ever seen, even in January 2009. Part of this is good as breadth is very broad. Part is bad as it shows normal market mechanisms are completely broken, as has been shown in the last two declines too. Meanwhile funds flows for last week not known yet but mkt has risen on back of very negative retail flow. Institutions have also been chronically underinvested in the last few reports I have seen. I assume both have come back a bit and that buybacks are key. BUT we will not stay up here without some broadening of buyers. I know they are good contrarians but now would be the time for their buying to keep pushing mkt higher. It is a long ways before they would indicate a top.



To: Robohogs who wrote (245)3/7/2016 8:26:25 AM
From: JamesK  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 668
 
>>and the 50% retrace from 72/73 to 44<<

This is sort of my target for now. I go a little lower though since I like log charts. A 50% retrace seems to always happen looking at 25 years of charts. Since it's not measured from the absolute high though it makes the analysis somewhat subjective.