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Strategies & Market Trends : Technical Analysis - Beginners -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: Chris G. who wrote (7342)	12/28/1997 4:26:00 PM
From: Richard Estes	Respond to of 12039

20-25% for a 30-40 day trade. stock selection is important. You can't make a silk purse out of a sow's ear. I don't have "SRS19", my suggestions remain the same, start taking the formulas away and see what contributes the most to your system. Do a "compare" on all systems you have, how many does it beat? Have you looked at MAs using all types? a number of periods? Remember in a system test there is more than just % profit.

To: Chris G. who wrote (7342)	12/28/1997 4:53:00 PM
From: Craig DeHaan	Respond to of 12039

Strictly an "eye of the beholder" evaluation. For me in recent market anything that betters bank rates, but with (long) considerable downside risk that would probably command some multiple of that to be truely rational. No harm in the small investor periodically holding all cash; big guys can't liquidate and that's one of our few advantages. In sunnier times 3 to 5X market index performance feels OK. Some system tests on "cooperative" stocks have run in the 120-300% APY range. That works out to 10-25% /month. Some day trades will do that in a few hours. Moral: Everything's relative. And finding the right horse is the key to the ride.