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To: ed who wrote (12203)12/28/1997 11:37:00 PM
From: John Carpenter  Respond to of 97611
 
I agree. I'll never believe those who tell me that there are
rational market participants in the short term. Those who
espouse an efficient market hypothesis say that at each second
a stock is fairly valued because it reflects all information
known at that time. I disagree. Corrections last for several
months and many issues go down almost everyday. It seems that
the funds have too much stock to unload all at once, so they
unload a portion of their position everyday(which usually takes
two to three months). This is completely at odds with those
who claim that equities are fairly valued each and every second.
Large funds and institutions have the most sway in the market.
When they decide to accumulate positions again, the correction
will be over. I suspect that the larger institutions act in
concert to protect the huge sums at stake. Although their
failure to beat S&P 500 returns would negate my suspicions.