To: Chip McVickar who wrote (18007 ) 3/21/2016 7:51:12 PM From: John Pitera 1 RecommendationRecommended By 3bar
Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 33421 Hi Chip, interesting article... I had seen it fleetingly... had not read itAs a result, many 401(k) plans are looking at shifting to money funds that buy only government debt, which aren’t required to have redemption fees or set up “gates” to block withdrawals. “Plan sponsors do not want to be exposed to a situation where plan participants can’t get their money, regardless of how remote that possibility is,” said Philip Suess, a partner at investment consulting firm Mercer LLC in Chicago. Some other plans are considering replacing money funds altogether with other low-risk alternatives, principally with “stable-value” funds , which are diversified portfolios of highly rated bonds. The shift to 401K's buying only US government debt will apply more demand for a shrinking pool of securities that more and more financial institutions are all seeking to use. The stable value funds are touted as being a defense against rising rates for people with 401K funds as per the WSJ April 5th 2013 article from the 4/5/2013 article.These low-risk accounts are paying yields comparable to those of diversified bond funds and substantially higher than those of money-market funds. Plus, when interest rates eventually rise from today's historically low levels, stable-value accounts should avoid the losses likely to hit bond funds and still deliver higher returns than money-market funds . "When you're in a rising-rate environment, stable value is your best choice," compared with bond or money-market funds, says Phil Suess, a partner at the Mercer Investment Consulting Inc. unit of Marsh & McLennan MMC -0.05 % Cos. "Our advice to clients has been, if you move away from stable value, what are you going to do with the money? Money markets paying nothing or a low-duration bond fund that can lose money? And why would you choose the latter, if you think the next direction [for interest rates] is up?" so the stable value funds have been around for several years and this most recent article you posted states that several employers have been sued by The moves to stable-value funds come amid at least three lawsuits filed by lawyer Jerry Schlichter in which plaintiffs allege that plan officials breached their fiduciary duty by using low-yielding money funds without considering stable-value funds . Defendants health insurer Anthem Inc. and human-resources-services company Insperity Inc. have filed to dismiss the claims against them; Chevron Corp. hasn’t filed a legal response and didn’t respond to a request for comment. Insperity has claimed in a court filing that it isn’t a fiduciary of the plan. Anthem declined to comment. An index of stable-value funds compiled by researcher Hueler Cos. returned an average 3% a year over the 10 years through February. Still, there are environments in which savers might be sorry to be in a stable-value fund rather than a money fund. . this below statement of the funds lagging in a rising rate enviroment is the exact opposite of the premise of the WSJ article on them back on 4/5/2013When interest rates rise, the yield on stable-value funds generally lags behind that of money-market funds A 401(k) Defense Against Rising Rates'Stable value' accounts are likely to fare better than bond funds when interest rates head up again By Dorianne Perrucci April 5, 2013 9:46 a.m. ET They're as boring as they sound. They're more complex than they seem. But stable-value accounts can be a smart option for the most conservative slice of a 401(k) portfolio, especially in the current interest-rate environment wsj.com from the 4/5/13 wsj articleWhen Rates RiseStable-value accounts are at their most valuable in a period of rising interest rates . Consider an analysis by Galliard Capital Management Inc., a unit of Wells Fargo WFC 0.26 % & Co. that is a large stable-value manager. The firm looked at two hypothetical scenarios: one in which interest rates rise one percentage point a year for three years straight, with rates creeping up steadily each month, and a second where rates jump two percentage points over three months and then remain steady for the remainder of the three years. In the first scenario of a steady, extended climb in rates, the firm found that investors would likely see the value of investments in mutual funds that hold short-term or medium-term bonds decline over a three-year period , while holders of stable-value accounts would see their balances continue to grow steadily. Holders of money-market funds would also see their accounts grow, although not as much as stable-value accounts so it sounds to me as if these two wsj articles have some contradictory analysis.... or course, we were not looking at 10 Trillion dollars of negative yield bonds in the world in 2013. but that debt is foreign and is not the investment focus of these funds and thus is irrelevant.... Now if US rates go negative that would alter the narrative. As Rick Santelli mentioned when he was talkiing about the negative overnight Repo rates recently he commented about not getting too far off into the weeds.... thats about exactly where I find myself in studying these articles... Much of the considerations are regarding fees and availability of withdrawl. here is a chart of the projected outcome of stable value accounts vs money market funds and short term bond funds in two scenerios of rising interest rates so the stable value funds perform better than money market funds when rates rise gradually over 3 years.... and they perform about the same as money market funds in scenerio 2 where rates jump quickly over 3 months and then remain steady. (both seem to be something of a mute point in our present world.. but things will change in the future.) John