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Strategies & Market Trends : 2026 TeoTwawKi ... 2032 Darkest Interregnum -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: John Vosilla who wrote (117395)3/23/2016 8:40:30 PM
From: TobagoJack1 Recommendation

Recommended By
Arran Yuan

  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 217739
 
the financial collapse is well-baked-in, triggers are too many, potential energy embedded in the system are more than ever, the post-wwii monetary system is treading water, and the moment treading stops, all stops per cardiac event or slow cancerous decay, depending on how the electorates wish to wager

am wondering why 'racial politics' still a current issue, can see merit in 'wealth inequality politics' for that is what politics had always been.

to me, the most important issue of this day is how much investors pony up to wager on the startup i am responsible to raise funding for

the next important issues, in order of priority, be good health, family wellbeing, friends in good keeping, passion for all that i do, and oh, balancing income / expenses, and keeping balance sheet on solid underpinnings

after all of the above, overarching technology developments and less-cosmetic systemic reforms leading to healthier planet and happier global crowds

w/r to hong kong, should hong kong collapse the world should worry, because hong kong, as the freest place on this planet in the here-now universe should not collapse, and would collapse because somethings elsewhere has gone or is going terribly wrong

our money is tied to the usd, and our economy is intricately weaved w/ global economy, and our politics is all about inequalities / welfare, and and and, but not so much about war and such. we are about merchandising and capital aggregation and flow. should we go ill, the planet is ill.

brazil is in depression? did not notice.

usa not doing so hot? hardly matters, and truthfully, did not notice.



To: John Vosilla who wrote (117395)3/23/2016 10:46:17 PM
From: John Pitera  Read Replies (4) | Respond to of 217739
 
Property Bubble Ghost Haunts Central Bankers Trying to Boost Prices

by Jana Randow

March 22, 2016 — 10:10 AM EDT

The property market is an animal almost every central banker is worried about and hardly anyone can control.

As the Federal Reserve downshifts into go-slow mode while the European Central Bank and other monetary authorities ease, expect to hear a lot of concern about property prices. Here's the dilemma: How do you cut rates to goose too-low inflation and support growth without lighting a fuse under real estate?

The U.S. is still feeling the consequences of a housing-market collapse that is widely blamed for triggering the Great Recession. The world’s largest economy stopped contracting in the second quarter of 2009, but house prices continued to fall over the next three years. While property costs since then have risen at a faster annual pace than an aggregate of 23 countries tracked by the Dallas Fed, prices are still 3.8 percent below their peak.

Since the global property market bottomed out at the start of 2012, house prices have risen most in New Zealand, Australia and South Africa. Increases of more than 30 percent in the three countries compare with an average gain of 11 percent in the sample. Prices are still declining in some of Europe's largest economies. One exception is Germany, where property costs have surged more than 17 percent after prices slid for a decade and a half starting in the mid 1990s.



Central bankers want to see their low rates transmit into economic activity. Prices and transactions in real-estate markets can serve as indicators for buyers' confidence in the economy, the strength of the labor market and spending prospects.

Too much froth in property markets can also be an obstacle to cutting rates further.



For Graeme Wheeler, governor of the Reserve Bank of New Zealand, the challenge is to boost inflation that has undershot the target band for more than a year without causing a housing bubble. Policy makers cut their benchmark interest rate to a record-low 2.25 percent this month.

Sweden's central bank has cut its repo rate to minus 0.5 percent in an effort to lift prices back to its target of 2 percent, an inflation rate unseen since 2012. House prices there are up 25 percent since the fourth quarter of 2011, when the Riksbank began cutting interest rates, according to the Dallas Fed's Home Price Index, which has data through the third quarter.

Moody's Investors Service, the credit and risk analysis firm, is warning that for Sweden, "the sustained and strong growth in mortgage lending and house prices risks leading to an (ultimately unsustainable) asset bubble

bloomberg.com



To: John Vosilla who wrote (117395)3/23/2016 11:00:28 PM
From: John Pitera  Respond to of 217739
 
Brazil ETF 16 year Monthly chart not looking so hot......



daily one year chart not looking all that crash hot either.



bloomberg.com

bloomberg.comhttp://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2016-03-23/brazil-real-drops-as-central-bank-moves-to-weaken-currency

Brazil’s real dropped the most among emerging-market peers as the central bank extended its intervention to weaken the currency, a switch announced last week after three years in which policy makers worked to support the real.

The central bank auctioned 17,000 foreign-exchange reverse swap contracts on Wednesday, equivalent to buying dollars in the futures market, and said it will reduce rollover auctions of contracts that bolster the currency to 2,500 contracts a day from 3,600 previously. The real lost 2.8 percent to 3.6849 per dollar, the most among 24 emerging-market currencies tracked by Bloomberg.

Central bank policy makers are looking to damp the real’s appreciation after it climbed 9.4 percent against the dollar this year through Friday, more than any other major currency in the world, as the drive to impeach President Dilma Rousseff gained momentum. A weaker real helps exporters by making their goods cheaper in dollar terms, potentially offering a lifeline to companies and an economy suffering from the country’s worst recession in more than a century. The currency plunged 33 percent last year.

"Investors are becoming convinced the central bank intends to tackle the exaggerated appreciation of the real, that the move in recent weeks has a limit," said Camila Abdelmalack, the chief economist of brokerage CM Capital Markets in Sao Paulo. "The strong appreciation of the dollar is also weighing on the real and political developments in Brazil should keep the currency volatile."

Traders dumped higher-yielding currencies worldwide after Chicago Fed President Charles Evans said two interest rate increases this year wouldn’t be unreasonable, joining other officials who have said this week they expect to raise rates more aggressively than traders had been pricing in. A gauge of emerging-market currencies dropped 0.7 percent.

The real extended losses after a news report on Uol website’s showed documents seized from construction company Odebrecht with alleged bribes for more than 200 politicians.

"There are so many names in the list, spreading concerns that politicians from all sides are involved. It seems like no one is actually safe," said Reginaldo Galhardo, a foreign-exchange manager at Treviso Corretora de Cambio in Sao Paulo. "This generates more tension in the market."

Brazilian swap rates on the contract maturing in January 2017, a gauge of expectations for interest rates, rose 0.01 percentage point to 13.72 percent.

A gauge of consumer-price increases slowed more than analysts forecast in the month through mid-March. Inflation, as measured by the IPCA-15 index, decelerated to 0.43 percent from 1.42 percent a month earlier, the national statistics agency said Wednesday. That compares with the median estimate from 37 analysts surveyed by Bloomberg for a 0.54 percent increase. Annual inflation slowed to 9.95 percent from 10.84 percent.

John



To: John Vosilla who wrote (117395)3/23/2016 11:43:43 PM
From: elmatador2 Recommendations

Recommended By
3bar
Elroy Jetson

  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 217739
 
Ordinary people cannot separate the essential from the non essential.

They tend to devote too much attention to the local and disregard the global. And it is the global that affects them most.

I disregard the local and devote most of my attention to the global.

Disregard the symptoms and seek the root cause.
Examples:

Brazil has 20% economic problem. 80% political problem,
China has 80% economic problem. 20% political problem,

Look to the issues not as a one week event but across a decade.

The successful politico, (the guy chosen by the political elites to run in their name: Reagan and Trump) is knows how to talk to the masses focused on the local.