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Strategies & Market Trends : 2026 TeoTwawKi ... 2032 Darkest Interregnum -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: TobagoJack who wrote (117595)3/30/2016 5:32:47 AM
From: elmatador1 Recommendation

Recommended By
3bar

  Respond to of 217825
 
TJ, most people look to the green shoots promising a Spring. I look for the dry leaves premeditating an Autumn.

What I am at it now is the death of the exporting model that so well served the world economy for 70 years.

If I am right, I will get the next decades direction the world economy will take.

How I look to the dry leaves? I make an assumption. Then I seek facts that add power to my assumption. The more acts I find supporting that assumption, the more right it proves to be.

They more facts I find negating that assumption, the less power my assumption has and I need to discard it.

See, you export as you grow. Inn the exporting model, you export to grow.

In the case of China?
it exported to a global economy running on debt.
There is no more room for debt, China cannot export as before as the debts need to be paid.
China must create its own demand -at home- to keep growing. (Thus my assumption its GDP would grow 4% tops in the coming years.



To: TobagoJack who wrote (117595)4/2/2016 10:21:14 PM
From: koan1 Recommendation

Recommended By
Kid Rock

  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 217825
 
I finally changed gears somehow, and had the insight to read through your head banner. I started just enjoying your wonderful thoughts, and then moved on to those wonderful pictures you put up and got lost in your world. They are so beautiful, and those children are so beautiful, it was like the reward I get on a sunny spring day.

I still have more to go through, but I'm very glad you posted them and everyone should make it a point to look through all those pictures. A great soul took those pictures, that is easy for me to see.

They fit into my hope for the world.



To: TobagoJack who wrote (117595)4/5/2016 4:41:59 PM
From: Snowshoe  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 217825
 
Seems like a trend ...

Paywall down as Alibaba takes ownership of SCMP (05 April, 2016)
scmp.com

Hong Kong airport cuts back on bookshops: Page One out, new mainland-based operator takes over (27 March, 2016)
scmp.com

Hong Kong book stores pull titles banned in mainland China from shelves as mystery over missing bookseller deepens (06 January, 2016)
scmp.com