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Strategies & Market Trends : Zman Market Timing -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: GROUND ZERO™ who wrote (8017)3/28/2016 12:25:33 PM
From: robert b furman  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 15903
 
I think we are about to move from a very negative "New Normal" into the kinds of recoveries we've had in the past.

I takes a long time for an over extended consumer to pay down debt.

I think any pick up in optimism and we'll get back into a virtuous debt cycle that will choke us again some day in the future.

In between - we have us a nice recovery - That will catch many a perma bear (almost all young investors) by complete surprise.

Housing has caught up in price and the laborers to build more do not exist.

We will all find ourselves very wealthy having retained our homes during this housing crisis of almost a decade.

Watch lumber - when laborers demand and get higher wages due to skilled trades shortages and a 2x4 is more expensive - housing will go through the roof.

That also will happen to energy before this is over - a shortage of skilled laborers for fracing.

Check out the vix:

weekly:

stockcharts.com

daily:

stockcharts.com

Could just now be going into a new long low range?

Bob



To: GROUND ZERO™ who wrote (8017)3/28/2016 1:30:12 PM
From: John Pitera  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 15903
 
Today has been interesting... the RUT was the index that was down the largest % this mornings.... compared to the spx, ndx, ymm16 and now it's up the most intraday... the long bond is up .36% strongly in price..down in yield same as last thurs.

crude made it's low for the morning just prior to 11 am...and the USD index after selling off overnight has started to rally the last 2 hours.

today has that holiday lite trading with many having taken the day off...like the smart folks in Europe. -g-

JP