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Politics : A Hard Look At Donald Trump -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Brumar89 who wrote (1664)4/16/2016 3:23:00 PM
From: Brumar891 Recommendation

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THE WATSONYOUTH

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;>) Cruz plans to steal CA by having Trump fail to mount ground game?

BREAKING – Cruz Plans To Steal California by Having Trump Fail to Prep Groundgame (#Sarcasm)

Posted by William A. Jacobson Wednesday, April 13, 2016 at 7:00pm | 4/13/2016 - 7:00pm
BOOM EXCLUSIVE WOW BOMBSHELL OUTRAGEOUS CHEATING STEALING!!!


Donald Trump inexplicably waited until YESTERDAY to name a State Political Director in California.

[ Nefarious plot working perfectly so far! ]

The California primary on June 7 could determine whether Trump reaches the magic 1237 majority delegate number prior to the July convention. By all reports, Cruz is far ahead in the ground game in California, which awards delegates not only on the statewide vote but also by congressional district.

Even if Trump wins the state, he may underperform in enough congressional districts due to Cruz’s superior campaign preparation that Trump is stopped short. Or he may fail to file delegate slates in all districts.

Erick Erickson reports:
Ted Cruz has been laying ground in California for a year. Donald Trump? His campaign is just starting and they have a deadline on May 7th. Literally Donald Trump just hired his California political director yesterday.

That deadline? The candidates in California get to submit delegates from each congressional district. If a candidate wins a congressional district, his delegates get to vote. It took Cruz more than 5 months to find delegates in all of California’s congressional districts. Cruz found 169 delegates and 169 alternates, which is a complete slate of delegates and alternates. Trump is just starting and the deadline to turn in his list is May 7th.

If Trump can’t field a complete slate, even if he wins a congressional district he won’t have delegates to vote for him.

The Yahoo News article linked by Erickson explains how organization is critical in California:

…. in California — the last and largest primary on the calendar — Cruz’s strategic superiority won’t just help the Texan pick up a few extra delegates. It could actually prove to be the difference between Trump clinching the nomination outright or falling short at the 11th hour, which would trigger a contested convention….

This isn’t just idle chatter. To secure the nomination on June 7, Trump will have to win roughly 70 percent of California’s delegates. But the state’s primary is a little quirky — and all those quirks favor the senator from Texas.

To find out more, Unconventional sat down after the Irvine rally with Mike Schroeder, the former state GOP chairman who’s now serving as Cruz’s political director in California.


Legal Insurrection ?@LegInsurrection
Clearly Cruz is stealing California by having Trump wait this long to hire state Pol Director #WaitForIt

“This is the last stand,” Schroeder said. “This is the battleground. And I think we’re going to win California — but even if we don’t, Trump is not going to get to 70 percent of the vote.”

Why is Schroeder so confident? First of all, only Republicans can cast ballots on June 7. No independents or Democrats. That’s good for Cruz (who does best with conservatives) and bad for Trump (who does best with moderates).

Secondly, California is winner-take-all by congressional district (plus three unpledged delegates and an additional 10 that will be awarded to the statewide champ). Not only is this a boon for the most organized candidate; it also blunts the impact of expensive ad buys (contrary to the conventional wisdom about California campaigns).

“It requires a great deal more organization to conduct 53 elections than it does to conduct one statewide and just buy a lot of TV,” Schroeder said. “This is very blue state. So we’ll have some districts with only 5,000 Republican voters. I call them ‘empty districts’: maybe 2,000 voters will decide the result. That’s not even a good-size city council race. And yet you still get the same number of delegates — three — that you would in a district with 240,000 Republicans.”

The Cruz campaign has been organizing in California for a year. They have thousands of volunteers statewide. And an estimated 65 percent of primary participants are expected to vote early by mail — a process that begins in three weeks. “We’re going to talk to all of these people personally,” Schroeder said. “We can pour calls into those empty districts.”

Also helping Cruz is the fact that the campaigns have to pick their own delegates — 169 of them, plus 169 alternates. The process of identifying six committed Cruz supporters in every single congressional district — including districts where Republicans haven’t really campaigned in decades — wasn’t easy. It took Schroeder five months. But now he’s finished — and the Trump campaign, which just hired a state political director today, is only getting started.

You know what Trumpmedia will call Trump’s failure to compete well in all congressional districts in California or to field a full delegate slate, if it happens?

FRAUDAnd you know how the headlines will start?

BREAKING – BOOM EXCLUSIVE WOW BOMBSHELL OUTRAGEOUS CHEATING STEALINGSorry, I forgot the

!!!If you are part of Trumpmedia and you think this post is about you, you probably are right.

Who is Trumpmedia?

That’s a secret. If I told you, I’d have to send Roger Stone to your hotel room, hint hint.

I regret having to put “(#Sarcasm)” in the title, but internet.

legalinsurrection.com

......

I can already tell one thing. When those FRAUD headlines go up on Drudge after Trump dicks away the election in Kali you’ll believe Cruz cheated the incompetent real estate fraudster out of victory.

Why? Because those headlines are in ALL CAPS with EXCLAMATION POINTS. Every Trump**** knows that makes it true. It’s why the Trump****s know Trumpy the insult clown is worth ten billion dollars. Because Trump and his spox don’t simply say he’s worth ten billion dollars. They say he’s worth TEN BILLION DOLLARS!

That makes it true.
.............

http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/trumps-right-that-the-gop-primary-is-unfair-it-favors-him/

“Trump’s Right That The GOP Primary Is Unfair — It Favors Him

Donald Trump has a point. (Yes, you read that correctly.) After getting shut out at the Colorado conventions, Trump has been complaining that the Republican primary process is undemocratic and rigged. I don’t agree with the “rigged” part, as the rules have been known for some time, but it’s true that some Republican votes are worth a lot more than others. “One person, one vote” — or the idea that every voter should have equal say in an election — is not the rule in the GOP primary system.1 The irony, however, is that Trump has benefited from this imbalance.

........

Trump usually earns a higher percentage of delegates than votes

…If Republicans were to allocate delegates the way Democrats do, Republicans would be much closer to a 1-to-1 votes-to-delegates ratio. THAT SYSTEM WOULD ALSO RESULT IN TRUMP’S HAVING PRETTY MUCH NO SHOT AT WINNING A MAJORITY OF DELEGATES heading into the Republican National Convention.

Now, if Trump doesn’t win on the first ballot in Cleveland, that’s when the undemocratic nature of the Republican primary could truly work against him…”

Trump is the guy actually stealing the election; he’s the one screwing voters out of their choice because he gets their delegates even if they didn’t vote for him but for somebody else. And Trump knows it and loves it.

“But in what sounded like a wink-wink aside, he said, ‘Don’t forget, I only complain about the ones where we have difficulty.’

When he whines about the system being unfair and stealing “his” nomination he’s just playing people for the suckers he knows them to be.

...........


Fuzzy Slippers | April 14, 2016 at 11:36 pm

Brilliant post! I am already getting tired of Trump’s feigned outrage when he is bested, and I could go a whole day–would love to go a whole day–without seeing him thrust out his pouty lip and shrug his shoulders while claiming to be a victim.

This is the smartest, most winningest, bestest person on the planet who has sworn that if there were some area about which he didn’t know all, he’d hire the smartest, most winningest, bestest persons in that field.

Apparently, he’s a bit slow on the uptake, however, as he’s playing catch-up while even Kasich is running circles around him. He’s ridiculous as a candidate, a joke, a caricature, a global laughingstock.

Nothing says he has to know arcane rules from each state regarding delegates, but everything says he should know well enough to hire people who do. Instead, he chose to ignore the rules and the delegate selection process, and now he stomps his stompy foot, flails his pudgy arms, and screws up his face in a remarkable imitation of a spoiled baby who had his bestest toy taken away.

It’s pitiful. It’s also a key indicator of what kind of leader he is: he doesn’t lead in any real sense of the word. He just stomps around, slinging threats and trying to intimidate, and when that doesn’t work he drops to the floor, pudgy limbs flailing, screaming “it’s not fair!”.

I correct myself, it’s not pitiful, it’s pathetic. And embarrassing.

[ LOL, this Fuzzy Slippers makes me smile. ]

...............

Milwaukee | April 14, 2016 at 11:25 pm

“The great irony of this campaign is that the “Washington cartel” that Mr. Cruz rails against is the very group he is relying upon in his voter-nullification scheme.”

I thought one of the Trump objections to Cruz was that Cruz was so ideological and fanatical that he couldn’t do deals with the insiders. Now Cruz is doing deals with insiders and Trump calls him a sell out.

While I usually disagree with Trump, it is true insiders have feathered their own nests. Some of this does appear tainted. However, the rules are state by state and exist for reasons related to each state. As G.K. Chesterton would opine, if you find a barrier across a road, before you tear it down, find out why it was built. Somebody went to a lot of trouble to build a barrier across a road, perhaps their reason still has merit. I don’t know why Colorado has had the caucus process since 1912 and still has it. Or why Wisconsin has had an open primary for years beyond my memory. But they do. That’s how they roll.

.............

Fuzzy Slippers | April 15, 2016 at 1:00 am

The only problem with this Cruz is a sell-out and he’s becoming one of Them claims is that it’s laughable on its face.

Cruz didn’t say one thing on the campaign trail and do another (as Rubio and a host of others did and continue to do), Cruz didn’t campaign as a conservative Tea Party candidate and immediately abandon his values (see Rubio, Brown, just about every other Republican elected in and since 2010), and Cruz hasn’t changed his principles, values, or policies (as Trump has done, almost daily). Cruz didn’t “sell-out” in Iowa to pander to the ethanol lobby and base; Trump did. And he still lost.

[ That Cruz DIDN'T sell out his values is WHY he's unpopular in the Senate. ]


Cruz doesn’t get new values every day depending on how things are polling; Trump does. Cruz can talk about his beliefs with deep knowledge, passion, and conviction. The only thing Trump talks about with any passion and conviction is Trump (and as an ancillary effort “making America great,” but that’s just as empty and ridiculous as “Hope and Change”). Oh, and he’s very passionate about “my wife is hotter than your wife,” but then, he’s a shallow, soulless cad who actually belittled Heidi because she’s not a “10.”

Trump is an emotionally and psychologically stunted pre-pubescent. He runs on emotion, he runs on taunts and bullying, he runs on insults and ridicule, and he runs on imagining that he’s some sort of god-like being who is better than anyone and everyone else. He’s a diva.

That even the insanely stupid GOPe can see that is evidence only that the old adage about a stopped clock being right twice a day may hold some water.

Trump is, in every sense, a complete disaster. That the GOPe are now trying to get something going with Cruz to stop him says nothing about Cruz and everything about Trump.

The GOPe hate Cruz; he’s not for sale, and he’s not willing to bow to their agenda for any reason. He’s stated clearly and publicly that the GOPe have told him to stop trying to keep his campaign promises because they don’t actually matter . . . that’s just stuff you say to get elected. Cruz rebels against that, and he has since his first day running a primary challenge to Texas’s GOPe stooge back in 2011.

Cruz doesn’t believe, as Trump does, that “everything is negotiable.” He won’t sell his soul for the presidency, and his working with the GOPe to ensure that America doesn’t have to endure the horror show that would be a Trump presidency says he is willing to compromise with and work with them when their goals are the same.

All this blather about how everyone hates Cruz and he can’t work with anyone is just that . . . blather. Cruz is showing, right now, that when the stakes are high, and his integrity is not on the line, he can and will work with people who do not share his conservative values.

Trump? He’s besties with George Soros, the Clintons, the Weiners, and the Reids.

I’ll take Cruz any day of any week in any year. And I will be voting for him in November.

.............
5Arminius | April 15, 2016 at 12:57 am

Good news! Donald Trump is now openly telling the NYT he thinks his followers are gullible idiots. In January he confided to the editorial board that he tells the Trump****s a lot of things he doesn’t mean, but only off the record and behind closed doors.

Then word leaked that he had done that and, nothing. No negative consequences for him bragging that his primary campaign is a pack of lies. And it dawned on him; Trump****s don’t read the NYT. So he can go ahead and say what he wants.

http://www.nytimes.com/2016/04/13/us/politics/donald-trump-losing-ground-tries-to-blame-the-system.html?_r=0

“WASHINGTON — Donald J. Trump and his allies are engaged in an aggressive effort to undermine the Republican nominating process by framing it as rigged and corrupt, hoping to compensate for organizational deficiencies that have left Mr. Trump with an increasingly precarious path to the nomination.

Their message: The election is being stolen from him.

…By blaming the process rather than his own inadequacies as a manager, Mr. Trump is trying to shift focus after Senator Ted Cruz of Texas outmaneuvered him in delegate contests in states like Colorado, North Dakota and Iowa, losses that could end up denying Mr. Trump the nomination.

But in what sounded like a wink-wink aside, he said, ‘Don’t forget, I only complain about the ones where we have difficulty.'”

.........