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Politics : Formerly About Advanced Micro Devices -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: J_F_Shepard who wrote (930990)4/18/2016 9:06:25 PM
From: Brumar89  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 1572497
 
Yes.



To: J_F_Shepard who wrote (930990)4/18/2016 9:15:13 PM
From: Brumar89  Respond to of 1572497
 
US Precipitation Becoming Less Extreme, Not More
March 17, 2016

By Paul Homewood



http://www.ncdc.noaa.gov/temp-and-precip/uspa/?area=wet-dry&month=0&submitted=View

I mentioned this NOAA graph earlier. They define it thus:

The percentage areas of the contiguous United States are computed based on the U.S. Climate Divisional Dataset. Those climate divisions having the monthly average temperature/total precipitation in the top ten percent (> 90th percentile) of their historical distribution are very warm/wet and those in the bottom ten percent (< 10th percentile) are very cold/dry.

To try and tidy up their presentation, I have downloaded their data and worked out 12-month running averages:





As I mentioned before, looking at national numbers can cover up a host of sins. For instance, record breaking droughts in the West could be cancelled out by floods in the East, leaving National figures looking average.

The beauty of NOAA’s approach is that it splits out the wet and dry by area.

There is no surprise to see that the percentage of very dry areas has been well down in recent years, even in 2015 despite the drought in California.

What is more interesting though is the very wet graph. There is no evidence at all of any increase in the last 30 years or so, and peaks are not getting higher. Indeed, the index actually peaks in 1941.

[ They haven't figured out how to adjust past precipitation yet. ]

We care often told climate change means that extremes of dryness and wetness will grow . In the US, at least, the very opposite is true.

https://notalotofpeopleknowthat.wordpress.com/2016/03/17/us-precipitation-becoming-less-extreme-not-more/



To: J_F_Shepard who wrote (930990)4/18/2016 9:18:00 PM
From: Brumar89  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 1572497
 
US land falling hurricanes have been at record low levels in recent years, and it is now more than ten years since a major hurricane hit.





http://www.aoml.noaa.gov/hrd/hurdat/All_U.S._Hurricanes.html

Message 30510329 weather



To: J_F_Shepard who wrote (930990)4/18/2016 9:19:38 PM
From: Brumar89  Respond to of 1572497
 
There has been a long term decline in both the number of tornadoes, and particularly, the frequency of stronger ones.





Message 30510329 weather



To: J_F_Shepard who wrote (930990)4/18/2016 9:20:49 PM
From: Brumar89  Respond to of 1572497
 
Droughts were much more commonplace, prolonged and severe prior to the 1970s.



http://www.ncdc.noaa.gov/cag/time-series/us/110/0/pdsi/ytd/12/1895-2016?base_prd=true&firstbaseyear=1901&lastbaseyear=2000

Message 30510329 weather



To: J_F_Shepard who wrote (930990)4/18/2016 9:21:55 PM
From: Brumar89  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 1572497
 
There has been a marked absence of extreme heatwaves in recent years, and nothing approaches the run of intensely hot summers in the 1930s.



http://www.ncdc.noaa.gov/cag/time-series/us/110/0/tmax/3/8/1895-2016?base_prd=true&firstbaseyear=1901&lastbaseyear=2000

Message 30510329 weather#



To: J_F_Shepard who wrote (930990)4/18/2016 9:23:42 PM
From: Brumar89  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 1572497
 
There is no indication, however, of precipitation becoming more extreme since then. The wettest year was 1973.



http://www.ncdc.noaa.gov/cag/time-series/us/110/0/pcp/ytd/12/1895-2016?base_prd=true&firstbaseyear=1901&lastbaseyear=2000

Message 30510329 weather#