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Politics : Formerly About Advanced Micro Devices -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: RMF who wrote (932595)4/29/2016 11:39:52 PM
From: Wharf Rat  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 1574264
 
"He's saying that's what we're seeing in the atmosphere and it's not really capable of warming the whole planet."

He says lots of things, but while he's talking, the planet keeps warming. In a few papers beginning in 1896, Arrhenius said that doubling CO2 from 280 to 560 would cause temperatures to rise 5.5 degrees C, later said 2.1-5.5 . Right now, CO2 is just over 400, and temperatures are up 1.5 degrees from the pre-industrial average. We still have 160 ppm to go.

Early reports indicate that the April GISS will be around 1.2C.

skepticalscience.com

“The first three months of 2016 have now all been blow-out months, all rising above 1°C anomaly over the GISS mid-century baseline. This month came in at 1.28°C. In fact, all of the past 6 months have come in at an unprecedented >1°C over their baseline. In terms of our anomaly over our 1880-1909 preindustrial baseline, this clocks in at 1.528°C and we’ve now marked 13 months where the 12 month average has remained over 1°C. We first crossed that point in February of 2015.
Reliable sources are telling me April 2016 is coming in about the same, around 1.2°C in the GISS data. The 2015/16 super El Nino is continuing to wane but we probably have a few more months of these extreme global anomalies to come before the surface station data begins to fall back to the long term mean trend line.

This is some crazy stuff, and we likely will have several more months of the same or similar coming.
Expect 2016 to be the third year in a row that we beat the record for global mean temperature.”