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To: Wayne who wrote (1551)12/30/1997 2:39:00 AM
From: Gary105  Read Replies (3) | Respond to of 7111
 
Wayne, thanks for update. Earlier guesses about Q1 did not consider the impact of the new year (ie when workers go to zero) - so my guess is that the 0.50+ per share for the Q is high. As a rough guess I would estimate 2500 workers for Nov, 2500 workers for Dec, and 1000 workers for Jan (2 weeks at 2000 and 2 weeks at zero). That would put the quarterly average around 2000 which would approximate Q3 or about
0.34/share (up about 200% from last year). Do you have a guess Wayne?

imo only,

Gary

P.S. - I have been checking edgar and thus far have not seen filings for insider selling after the earnings were released - an encouraging sign



To: Wayne who wrote (1551)12/30/1997 12:08:00 PM
From: Terry Backlund  Respond to of 7111
 
Wayne and all,

I couldn't help myself, but I have got to (guess) when we see a new high. Soooo, I looked up the last two periods of dormancy in which we had a pull back after hitting a new high.

July 8th closed at 7 on July 30th closed at 7 3/4 and never looked back. This was 16 trading days before the pop.

Sept 4th closed at 11 3/4 on Oct 9th closed at 12 and never looked back. This was 25 trading days before the pop.

Dec 9th closed at 18 9/16 on Jan ? closed at ? and never looked back.

My (guess) is after Jan 11th when the Vegas toy show is over and the analysts say, "wow look what we found, let's give it a strong buy"

Sorry for the rambling,

Ter