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Politics : Formerly About Advanced Micro Devices -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Tenchusatsu who wrote (933740)5/7/2016 7:31:06 AM
From: Alighieri  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 1572616
 
So (notwithstanding the glaring inaccuracies in your statements) are you a Trump supporter now?

Al



To: Tenchusatsu who wrote (933740)5/9/2016 10:57:56 PM
From: combjelly  Respond to of 1572616
 
Huh? Obama is not de-emphasizing the US as a superpower. He is shifting the focus from the Middle East to the Far East. Which is a very different proposition. The Middle East is declining in importance. All they have is oil and the handwriting is on the wall as to it being centrally important to the world economy. It will be important for the foreseeable future, just not as critically so. We have devoted a huge amount of resources trying to prop up the status quo there for decades. The necessity of that is declining. Best to move on.

China is a growing problem. By the mid-2020s they will reach a crisis point. They are a maturing economy and are in the process of switching to a consumption-driven instead of an export driven economy. And they are establishing their spheres of influence across the region and in Africa to accomplish that. But they have a huge problem looming for them. Their "once child per family" policy has been successful in heading off famine while they developed their economy. But, it has been too successful. Despite the loosening, by now the policy is too entrenched with economic and social incentives to change quickly. Demographics is catching up with them. It is a race against time for China to get established before their population peaks. If they haven't gotten close enough to being consumer-driven, there is a risk of everything falling apart for the leadership.

And that is the danger. That, and China is falling into traditional modes of steamrolling everyone around them. Which might not work out like it traditionally has. They don't have the technological edge they did in the past. And there are more players. I am not sure if it was really planned this way, but the F-35B just might be a game changer. China is struggling with the basics of operating an aircraft carrier. They are just starting to put together a carrier group and all that entails. The F-35B gives all of their opponents instant aircraft carriers with their existing helicopter carriers. Once the bugs are worked out on the F-35s, and they have a scary number of them, suddenly China doesn't have the naval superiority they have been planning on. Hence the conversion of tiny islands to military bases. And that is causing enormous friction.

The future promises to be interesting. And different. It isn't the Cold War any more. Things are changing.