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Politics : View from the Center and Left -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: Sun Tzu who wrote (301098)	5/31/2016 5:28:31 PM
From: Sam	Read Replies (1) \| Respond to of 540750

By the time the doc figures out the odds, the patient will be dead....

To: Sun Tzu who wrote (301098)	5/31/2016 8:23:32 PM
From: koan	Respond to of 540750

I agree about statistics. One of my degrees is an experimental psychology and I tell people the best thing I got out of it was a good foundation in statistics. And then when I did graduate work I had more statistics. It is interesting that scientists say that we are hardwired for pattern recognition, but probability is difficult for the human species to learn. One way to think about it is that we can teach a five-year-old how to count. But a person with 150 IQ raised in a culture where no one knows how to count will not be able to learn how to count very easily. When I play poker, one of the big advantages I have is that I always apply probability and reject luck a hundred percent. The brain is layered with the most primitive portions being at the center. When we metamorphosis from one animal to the next, we did not lose all of the capabilities of that animals brain. One has to wonder what those different layers of remnant animal brains of our ancestors see and think. How often is something we figured out or see are the product of our rat ancestor, or lizard ancestor? That is also why when you look at the graph that is on wharf's climate thread , showing the decline in Arctic pack ice and notice year after year it is two or three standard deviations below the mean. A person understand statistics knows that that is an alarming thing to be looking at.