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To: hpeace who wrote (26516)12/30/1997 4:20:00 PM
From: Jim Patterson  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 176387
 
pc's use to cost $10-20k a piece now they cost $600-2600 for 1000 times the power.

DRAMS increased by a factor of 16, that is 1 mb to 16 mb.
Now look at MU
Hard Drives have done the same thing. 1 GB used to be the size of a refridgerator, Now My notebook has 4 and it is the size of a wallet.
But look at the broken disk drive companies along the path.

Look at the Mainframe Group. Was that not the end all be all of computing. Where is Unisis, Dec, Wang, Controll Data, Comidor.

Microsoft can only consume cpq cycles so fast.
The internet is the great killer app that does not need more horsepower.
You cite evidence of what I am talking about above.
20K to 2600 for 1000 times the power. That is an 87% reduction in computing cost.
next year it will be $1000 for 1000 times the power.

GM can make cars with 500 horsepower engins, but very few people want that. 166-200 is plenty.

How long will it be befer a comptr caan understaand my akccent n yrrs to att the saame tiime. Jee I duun no.
perhaps You can tell me. I do not doubt your forcast.
With full voice recognition, How do I hilight an icon, Launch an app.
Will the OS have it all built in ?
According to the JD, MS will probably not be allowed to so that.
Not to mention that it will take win 2000 delayed 9 months to 2001 atleast for it to be offered in an OS.

The question you need to look at the answer to is :
Is there going to be demand for the new power.
Not is the power going to be there. I know that will happen.
Will it ba accepted ?
Remember I am working that the mas mood will be quite different than it is today.

Jim