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Biotech / Medical : VVUS: VIVUS INC. (NASDAQ) -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: Tunica Albuginea who wrote (4137)	12/31/1997 6:09:00 PM
From: BigKNY3	Read Replies (2) \| Respond to of 23519

TA <<For those that feel 100% certain as to the course of future ED therapy with the pill/PFE etc, I would highly recommend seeing movie " The Titanic ", were they were equally, 100% certain that it couldn't possibly sink.>> TA: I guess some investors wish the"Titanic" had an earlier release date! A 100% probability is impossible in medicine. But, since you brought up the subject, what do you think are the probabilities that Viagra will be like the following pharmaceutical products... that had very high preapproval anticipation?: 1. Prozac-(SSRI with high acceptance for depression and multi-billion $ sales):___% probabilty. 2.Proscar( Great clinicals, low acceptance and relatively disappointing product for BPH):________% probability 3.Redux- (SSRI for obesity, initial wide acceptance, recalled from market due to side effects) __________% probability. Here is my best guess for Viagra: 1. Prozac-like acceptance and sales: 80% 2. Proscar-like acceptance and sales: 18% 3. Side effect problems that will prevent approval or acceptance: 2% BigKNY3 PS Titanic was a great movie!