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To: Brumar89 who wrote (71561)8/17/2016 12:53:35 PM
From: Brumar89  Respond to of 86347
 
Natural Gas: Renewables’ Essential Friend

Like the previous post, this shows that natural gas is necessary for solar and wind power to be useable.

Mark Green
Posted August 15, 2016

I really like this quote from Chris Mooney’s analysis in the Washington Post last week – the speaker being Italian scientist Elena Verdolini, whose new research basically finds that solar and wind energy need big help from natural gas:

“If you have an electric car, you don’t need a diesel car in your garage sitting there. But in the case of renewables, it’s different, because if you have renewable electricity and that fails, then you need the fast acting gas sitting in your garage, so to speak.”

That “failure” is the reality that solar and wind are intermittent: The sun doesn’t always shine, and the wind doesn’t always blow. From the working paper by Verdolini and her team, who studied wind, solar and other renewable energy plants across 26 countries between 1999 and 2013:

“Our paper calls attention to the fact that renewables and fast-reacting fossil technologies appear as highly complementary and that they should be jointly installed to meet the goals of cutting emissions and ensuring a stable supply.”

Mooney writes:

Because of the particular nature of clean energy sources like solar and wind, you can’t simply add them to the grid in large volumes and think that’s the end of the story. … “When people assume that we can switch from fossil fuels to renewables they assume we can completely switch out of one path, to another path,” says Verdolini. But, she adds, the study suggests otherwise.

Needed, the study says, is natural gas-fired power generation that can reach full power in less than 30 minutes – meaning the ability to add more than 600 megawatts of electricity to the grid, Mooney writes.

Now, while the headline on Mooney’s piece refers to natural gas as renewables’ “secret” friend, it’s no secret that the increased use of domestic natural gas is the primary reason the United States’ energy-related carbon dioxide emissions decreased 2.7 percent last year and were 12 percent lower than they were in 2005 – perhaps why Verdolini and her team mention emissions in the quote above. A chart by the U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA) showing the decline in U.S. CO2 emissions:



The United States, the world leader in oil and natural gas production, also leads the world in reducing carbon emissions, thanks to a domestic energy renaissance that’s producing surging volumes of cleaner-burning natural gas. The resulting abundance of natural gas has generated a market edge for gas leading to its wider use and falling emissions – noted by EIA Administrator Adam Sieminski last week:

“The drop in CO2 emissions is largely the result of low natural gas prices, which have contributed to natural gas displacing a large amount of coal used for electricity generation.”

Some may find inconvenient the clear connection between safe and responsible hydraulic fracturing, which is delivering all that natural gas to market, and U.S. emissions reductions. Instead, they might consider embracing the all-of-the-above approach to energy suggested by the Verdolini team’s research, as well as real climate progress that’s occurring without impacting jobs, the economy, energy security or consumer affordability.

energy tomorrow



To: Brumar89 who wrote (71561)8/18/2016 10:10:08 AM
From: Eric  Respond to of 86347
 
How Ivanpah Raised Its Performance In Its Second Year

April 27th, 2016 by Susan Kraemer

In 2015, PG&E customers received about 97% of Ivanpah’s contracted electrons, which is a massive improvement over its first year.

But this raises a question:


Source: SEC/EIA data <a href="http://www.eia.gov/electricity/data/browser/#/plant/57074?freq=A&ctype=linechartUnit 1, <a href="http://www.eia.gov/electricity/data/browser/#/plant/57075?freq=A&ctype=linechartUnit 3

What exactly were the engineering challenges at Ivanpah – and why did they take a year to solve?

To find out, I spoke with engineering experts at NRG, which is the operating partner as one of the three Solar Partners which developed the project, along with BrightSource and Google.

“We encountered the kinds of engineering problems that can really only be seen and solved in a first full-scale deployment,” NRG spokesman David Knox told me.

“And in that first year, an inordinate number of partly cloudy days impacted not only the energy output, but also the plant’s ability to commission and actually fine tune all of its control systems.”

At 377 MW net, Ivanpah is the first-ever utility-scale direct steam solar tower: any similarly novel technology relying on solar would also need a succession of sunny days to diagnose and try out solutions to engineering problems.

“But now that we have learned the lessons that we have learned, and the industry has learned the lessons that we have learned; others don’t have to,” he added.

“But the first large-scale installation needed to go through those steps.”

Correcting a too-easily-tripped steam sensor

Adjusting the settings for the sensor on a steam drum to prevent tripping too easily was one of the biggest contributions to the increase in generation in the second year, according to Mitchell Samuelian, NRG’s vice president of operation for utility-scale renewable generation.

“If even a wispy little cloud came over in the morning, the plant would trip. We would actually have four or five drum level trips on start-up every morning,” he told me.

Samuelian has an engineering background and worked in traditional thermal and hydropower electricity before coming to NRG, which itself is well-versed in operating traditional thermal plants that use a power block in the same way as a CSP plant does, but they are fueled by gas or coal, not solar.

In both the newer “tower” types of CSP, whether they operate on direct steam like Ivanpah, or on molten salt with energy storage, like Crescent Dunes, the transfer medium is heated by the moving path of sunlight continually reflected off mirrors (heliostats) onto a receiver in a central tower.

The steam drum has to be downsized in a solar tower.

At Ivanpah, sunlight concentrated onto the tower receiver heats water to steam in the steam drum.

At 500 feet up in the tower, the drum had to be smaller than a typical steam drum in a conventional power plant. A steam drum has water in the bottom, and heating the water creates steam in the top. In the Ivanpah plant, that gets piped down the tower to operate the steam turbine below.

“In a gas or coal plant the steam drum is much bigger, so they don’t have the same issues with the level going up and down,” he told me. “Small changes in level don’t cause problems. So it was just the fact that it was up in the tower and it’s hard to put a big huge steam drum up there.”



A sensor reset helped reduce morning startup time down to 25 minutes.

Initially the water level sensors in the steam drum were set like those for a fossil fuel plant, which trips off if the water level raises too much, indicating inadequate steam production to run the turbine.

But in a solar configuration, every passing cloud was tripping it off, turning off the plant unnecessarily, and especially during morning startup.

“So we went through with the engineering and redesign so we could go to a higher level and a lower level when we are operating,” said Samuelian. “The operating range was plus or minus I think three inches. And now I think we’re in the range of plus or minus 11 or 12 inches.”

“And now we get a trip on start-up only every couple of weeks”

Simply resetting the steam drum water level sensors to be a little less sensitive to water levels (we’re talking a few inches here) while not endangering turbine operation was a big part of how the morning startup time was cut from four hours to under 25 minutes:

“In the first couple of months, it was taking us right around three to four hours to startup, and now on a normal sunny day from the time that the sun comes up over the horizon to the time that we actually synchronize the unit is in the 25 minute range,” he said.

Many other small engineering fixes included ongoing improvements in integrating the control system that operates the movement of the mirrors in the solar field with the one operating the power plant itself.

Ivanpah was the world’s first attempt at utility-scale direct steam solar tower CSP. Abengoa built the first direct steam tower CSP in Spain at just 11 MW in 2011, which is pilot sized. Abengoa’s direct steam Khi Solar One came online in South Africa in 2016, but at only 50 MW, compared to Ivanpah’s three towers totaling 377 MW two years ago.

New technology takes time to refine. I asked NRG whether traditional power plants had similar start-up troubles:

“Oh yeah,” said Samuelian. “You see that in all new technology. In fact if you look at early on; I remember in the first number of years they will tell you that the forced outage rate was in the 30 or 40 percent range for that new technology, when they were first using gas turbines to drive generators. and nowadays those things are at between 97 percent to 98 percent availability.”

“It is just like any other technology. It just takes a while to get all the bugs out of it.”

For engineers behind the scenes, improving technical problems is just routine.

But CSP is not like any other technology. Our previous first-of-its-kind energy technologies didn’t start up in the glare of a hostile spotlight from today’s highly politicized media:

Nobody cared that engineers took years to fix the start-up problems of coal or gas turbines. Solar PV could take care of any start-up buggy-ness in the privacy of space.

The Wall Street Journal, now owned by Rupert Murdoch, is widely quoted with its factually wrong statements about Ivanpah’s generation requirement for PG&E, making it appear that the first direct steam solar tower has failed spectacularly to meet the target.

When I asked the journalist responsible why she ignored the facts in the SEC filing, she said because BrightSource wouldn’t also “go on the record.”

When PPAs are confidential, the parties are liable if they reveal PPAs that are not in the public domain: However, another journalist outed the SEC filing last year so it is in the public domain.

SEC filings are reliable sources; in covering most businesses, the WSJ cites them, because investors need facts.

The SEC filing states the mature year contract quantity of generation required after a four year ramp up is 640,000 MWh for PG&E’s two units.

“The “contract quantity” for each year is expected to be 304,000 MWH for Solar Partners II (Unit 1) and 335,600 MWH for Solar Partners VIII (Unit 3) throughout the delivery term, and the seller must deliver a guaranteed amount of energy in two-year measuring periods.”

Now here is the math for the first two-year measuring period: 2014-15:

“The production guarantee generally is 140% of the contract quantity during the first measuring period after the commercial operation date.”

So to get PG&E’s two-year requirement, multiply 640,000 by 140% = 896,000 MWh.
EIA shows two-year generation from PG&E’s <a href="http://www.eia.gov/electricity/data/browser/#/plant/57074?freq=A&ctype=linechartUnit 1 and <a href="http://www.eia.gov/electricity/data/browser/#/plant/57075?freq=A&ctype=linechartUnit 3 as = 723,153 MWh.

Over both years that’s 81% of the contracted quantity.


But most of the shortfall was in the first year: The reason that PG&E petitioned the California Public Utility Commission to allow it to keep the contract was the improvement after these engineering challenges were resolved.

cleantechnica.com

In 2015, PG&E customers received about 97% of Ivanpah’s contracted electrons.



To: Brumar89 who wrote (71561)8/18/2016 10:23:12 AM
From: Eric  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 86347
 
Ivanpah is working just fine and should set records for power production this year.

And NG consumption for morning startup continues to drop.

Eric

Newly Released Data Indicates Ivanpah Gas is Under 5%

April 25th, 2016 by Susan Kraemer

The use of gas for generation at the world’s largest direct steam solar tower has never exceeded 5 percent, according to newly released data from NRG and confirmed by EIA and the California Energy Commission (CEC).


Data Source: EIA, NRG

At the 377 MW Ivanpah CSP project, the use of natural gas is limited to 5 percent of generation, despite media reports that imply otherwise.

In one example, David Lamfrom, desert project manager of the National Parks Conservation Association, is quoted by the Press Enterprise as saying that he doubted that the project would have gone forward if it had been billed a hybrid plant: that “if it had been billed as a 75 percent renewable energy project, the BLM might have said ‘no.’”

This suggests to the reader that Ivanpah is only 75% renewable, and gets a quarter of its generation from gas. That is factually incorrect.

Adam Ward, spokesman for the CEC, confirmed that Ivanpah generates 5 percent or less of its megawatt hours from natural gas.

(Ivanpah must remain at least 95 percent renewable because it must meet the Renewable Portfolio Standard (RPS) guidelines under which it was certified.)

I asked NRG spokesman David Knox why the data on generation from natural gas didn’t show up at EIA in 2014. He told me that the plant was not able to report generation from natural gas until 2015, as the CEC had not yet decided on the methodology for calculating it.

Knox forwarded me NRG’s spreadsheet including newly released figures for January to August 2015 (indicated in red) which are not yet included on the EIA site, where you can check the monthly generation for Ivanpah <a href="http://www.eia.gov/electricity/data/browser/#/plant/57074?freq=M&ctype=linechartUnit 1, <a href="http://www.eia.gov/electricity/data/browser/#/plant/57073?freq=M&ctype=linechartUnit 2 and <a href="http://www.eia.gov/electricity/data/browser/#/plant/57075?freq=M&ctype=linechartUnit 3.

EIA spokesman Jonathan Cogan told me that EIA has had delays getting the first months of data online, but expects to have it up later in the year. “When we finalize the 2015 data files, that will be incorporated into the browser,” he said.

Documents provided to me by NRG reveal new details about how many megawatt hours of generation came from natural gas in 2015.



Source: EIA and NRG

How the CEC decided on a method for counting natural gas generation in 2015

It turns out that it took quite a few meetings with the CEC to find a methodology on how to accurately determine how much gas contributed to power generated, after the project increased its use of natural gas in September of 2014 to 5 percent. Some of that now went towards generation, but how to know how much?

Knox said it was not that straightforward to determine how many megawatthours were generated by gas or by solar. Steam generated by the natural gas boiler mixes with the steam from the solar boiler at an intermediate stage in the steam turbine steam path – so it was hard to separate electric generation from natural gas alone.

Once the method of calculating how much gas was contributing to generation was worked out with the CEC, Ivanpah was able to report the generation from natural gas and from solar. When the generator breaker is closed, any gas that is consumed on-site is deemed to contribute towards electricity generation.

“So we meter the amount of gas consumed while the generator breaker is closed and use an agreed upon conversion factor to convert the energy from gas combustion into net MWh of electrical output,” explained Knox.



Background:

The Ivanpah concentrated solar tower project is the first-of-its-kind direct steam plant at utility-scale; 377 MW. Thousands of huge mirrors reflect sunlight onto a receiver where water is turned to steam by the heat of the focused sunlight.

Ivanpah has a PPA (Power Purchase Agreement) with PG&E for two of the three tower units comprising the plant, units 1 and 3.

In 2014, Ivanpah operators had asked the CEC to be permitted to raise gas use from a low initially planned 2 percent for parasitic overnight use to 5 percent.

The additional use was approved, and some generation was permitted from gas as a result of that, with the first morning steam created by burning gas, and during cloudy periods.

Ivanpah’s initial bad start caused the project to fall short of the 70% required output for the first two year look-back period, during a four year ramp-up to full generation.

In the first two-year look-back period, Ivanpah units 1 and 3 were generating on average 19% short of the contracted percentage. But by the second year, generation was only 3% below target and still improving.

PG&E asked the CPUC to let Ivanpah keep its PPA, as poor initial performance is fairly routine with new technology during a ramp-up period, and this 377 MW direct steam solar tower technology was without precedent when it began, other than small projects at 11 MW.

Current generation in the first quarter of 2016 has actually been above mature year requirements (the 100% level due in 2018) of 640,000 MWh for these two units.

Gas for keeping warm overnight helped speed morning start-up

A major cause of the very slow morning startups in early 2014 – just how cold the turbine gets by morning – had some very low tech solutions.

“The initial thinking of how warm the steam turbine would remain overnight was off quite a bit,” said Mitchell Samulelian, NRG’s vice president of operation for utility-scale renewable generation.

“A typical power plant steam turbine takes anywhere from four to 24 hours of warming to get hot enough to start up. But obviously if you take 24 hours to warm a solar plant, you are never going to make any money!”

The solution to that overnight cooling was to increase the ceiling steam heat – using gas, as well as to insulate the turbine. That has successfully kept the turbine at well above 750 Fahrenheit at night so that it wouldn’t cool off.

By keeping warm overnight, Ivanpah can now start up very quickly in the morning; going from 4 hours to under 25 minutes.

In a gas or coal power plant, this use of gas overnight for what is called “parasitic load” – providing energy needs onsite that is not for sale to the grid – is fairly routine.

“If a coal plant the size of Ivanpah at 400 MW is shut down overnight, and needed to run in the morning, this would also consume natural gas, because they would be using natural gas to make steam seals for the turbine in order to draw a vacuum and start up,” said Samuelian.

“So a lot of our fossil fuel plants have an auxiliary boiler that is for supplemental heating when the plant is off-line, no different than Ivanpah.”

The additional gas use (up to 5 percent of generated electricity) was approved for parasitic overnight use, and to create that first morning steam to speed morning start-up times, and during cloudy periods.

To stay under 5 percent the gas is closed off if necessary

“We can regulate how much gas we use,” Samuelian pointed out. “We can make a choice to actually not add any natural gas to stay online, if it’s a very cloudy day – versus just coming offline – if we think we’re getting close to our limit.”

And in 2016, gas has not even been as high as 5 percent.

“In these latest three to four months our gas use is in the 3 percent to 4 percent range,” said Samuelian.

cleantechnica.com