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Strategies & Market Trends : Value Investing -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: gcrispin who wrote (57868)8/25/2016 12:17:28 PM
From: Paul Senior  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 78751
 
AGN. Fwiw, my recent and small adds have been

8/15 @ $252.82
8/16 @ $254.33
8/24 @ $246.76
8/24 @ $251.74
8/25 @ 241.21

Some negatives as reported by Guggenheim Securities in Barron's (8/17):
In our view, a few things remain an overhang on shares in the second half: 1) Valuation appears expensive relative to the group (at 15 times enterprise value (EV)/Ebitda); 2) Shire is launching lifitegrast, which will compete with Restasis, one of Allergan’s largest and fastest-growing drugs; 3) Allergan’s potential blockbuster drugs are in early stage development; and 4) there is a lack of visibility into what Allergan will buy with its cash (about $22.6 billion) from the sale of its generics business. Those on the sidelines believe that it is hard to see how one can make money on Allergan in 2016 and which investors would be incremental buyers of the stock.
I see value investors Wallace Weitz and Seth Klarman have positions (as of latest info I have).

I don't see the stock out of line compared to other pharma stocks I am looking at with the metrics I am using. Perhaps though stock may be more gaarp than value.


With large cash component, company has opportunity in addition to its current products and drug pipeline. I'll try to give it some time (18-24 mo) to see what management does.