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Strategies & Market Trends : Waiting for the big Kahuna -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: William H Huebl who wrote (12575)1/1/1998 2:20:00 PM
From: bearshark  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 94695
 
Hi Bill:

One of my concerns about SI is the willingness of people to provide investment advice. I know you and I have told people that we are not financial advisors. I respect you for doing that and I have followed your lead.

There are quite a few of us that provide our opinions on this thread. I read yours, as well as everyone else's, and find them to be useful whether I agree or disagree. I genuinely like the posters on this thread. Unlike some other threads that I have seen, our posters are polite and thoughtful.

I would be happy to provide whatever help I can as my past posts have indicated. However, I hope we can continue to walk the thin line between assistance and opinion and advice.

By the way, after I finally figured out where our profiles were, I did add information to mine. It only took me about 2 months to figure it out.



To: William H Huebl who wrote (12575)1/1/1998 3:20:00 PM
From: Liatris Spicata  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 94695
 
Bill-
Since they're centavos, I'll give you three! I'd avoid market direction as a theme, as I believe it is not predictable. Two areas for which I have thought of starting threads are: 1) sector rotation strategy, and 2) risk management. We cannot, IMO, time the market, but we can manage risk. These ideas are probably too restrictive for a general thread like BK, however.

HNY,

Larry



To: William H Huebl who wrote (12575)1/1/1998 5:39:00 PM
From: Barbara Barry  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 94695
 
Bill,
I checked out the VGY. What is your view? Looks like a positive trend until maybe Tues????I would love to know more about this indicator.
HNY
BB



To: William H Huebl who wrote (12575)1/1/1998 6:19:00 PM
From: kas1  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 94695
 
Bill, I don't know if my request for this thread being a "beacon of light" during downswings is incorporated into your summary?

In any case, another suggestion, brought to my mind by the popularity of the predictions table I posted, is to discuss making money with numbers. That is, all of the folks on this thread seem to know what a bivariate corr or an sdev is... even more know about esoteric ta indicators... and we are therefore at a distinct advantage to most of the general population. How can some of these methods help us, and why? My experience is more in "orthodox" statistics rather than in ta, so I find it interesting to take price and sentiment data and play with it, do creative things to try to predict the future. Can we discuss this stuff -- the frontiers of our personal quantitative forecasting -- here? I know that you, Bill, always explain your newest indicators and the like, but perhaps I'd like more in-depth explanation of your indicators, what they are, why they are supposed to work, etc, as ta is for the most part black magic to me.



To: William H Huebl who wrote (12575)1/2/1998 6:39:00 AM
From: Berney  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 94695
 
Bill, Please understand that I religiously follow this thread,
but I believe is it an absolute joke for folks to go on record of
predicting the highs and lows of the market. Nonetheless, to all
who attempted, good luck!

In the option world, you're not going to make money predicting the
future course of the market, unless you play leaps. Don't be
distracted as I've seen no one better at predicting the near-term
market movements! Keep it up!

Berney