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To: Crimson Ghost who wrote (5062)1/1/1998 2:56:00 PM
From: Sergio R. Mejia  Respond to of 116753
 
Is gold losing its believers? Some defend fading metal ...

Happy New Year to All

Many thanks to all posters for the excellent contributions, and specially to Alex and Tom.

I hope nobody has posted this articles yet.

Sergio

cbs.marketwatch.com
cbs.marketwatch.com

SAN FRANCISCO (CBS.MW) - Most investors are turning their heads
toward a new year and away from gold, which at $290 an ounce is at its
lowest point in almost 15 years.

Indeed, while gold has its believers -- see
sidebar -- it also has its skeptics.

"I just returned from a trip from Europe," says
reader Jim Esler, who predicts that more
central banks will liquidate their reserves when
European currencies unify starting in 1999.
"My impression is that the transition to the Euro
will greatly upset the price of gold, and in turn
further destabilize the Asian currency markets."

Esler explains that the 11 nations participating
in monetary union will be forced to sell reserves
to meet the fiscal standards of a new European
central bank.

Esler also wonders how a united European
economy will grapple with the "diversity of
economies."

He says "the Netherlands economy is similar to
our own in terms of unemployment and growth.
But in Italy, the unemployment picture is vastly
more gloomy; 7 percent in the North and about
33 percent in the South."

At the end of the day (or the millennium), the
question for observers such as Esler is: "Who
will be buying U.S. Treasury bonds?"

Another reader sends in a favorite gold Web
site. The site, at gold-eagle.com,
offers more than 400 pages of gold data.

It also contains a kind of epitaph to gold, in the
form of a famous Alan Greenspan remark.

"The abandonment of the gold standard made it
possible for the welfare statists (government
bureaucrats) to use the banking system as an
unlimited expansion of credit," Greenspan says.
"In the absence of the gold standard, there is
no way to protect savings from confiscation
through inflation. Deficit spending is simply a
scheme for the 'hidden' confiscation of wealth."

Gold defender
A longtime believer in downtrodden gold, California newsletter writer
James Dines, says the metal's tough times are contributing to Asian currency turmoil.

Gold this year fell below $290 an ounce for the first time in 15 years. Central bankers' sales of the metal are rattling gold investors.

"We predict that without the unifying standard that gold provides, these currency crises will continue with what we call Vesuvian tremors," Dines says.

"These currency crises will happen again and again unless gold is restored as the primary monetary asset," he says.

Dines says the prices of gold and silver are close to their "bottoms" and will soon rise, sending prices of depressed gold mining shares far higher.

Silver prices are jumping to their highest point in a decade amid talk of hedge fund buying. Silver last week rose as high as $6.37 an ounce. Gold rose almost as high as $298 an ounce before sliding back to the $290 area.

Still, gold prices this month have drifted higher and are far closer to $300 an ounce than the $282.50 low the metal has already touched.



To: Crimson Ghost who wrote (5062)1/1/1998 6:34:00 PM
From: John Stopforth  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 116753
 
George, you said:

The nice thing about the current gold situation is that prices have been driven so low that huge gains are possible without the yellow having to challenge the $400 line in the sand.

Again I agree with you entirely, the price of gold and gold stocks
are much closer to the bottom than the top and now is a good time
to nibble. I bought WIM on Toronto a small gold producer which is
losing money (or will be losing money, they have hedged for 1998) for
gold below $302 US. The stock was trading at $1 cdn one year ago and
is now trading at $.35 cdn.
It will be interesting to see if gold breaks its previous low of
$381 (I think) in the next week or it has a higher low.

John