To: longnshort who wrote (965196 ) 9/17/2016 7:56:10 PM From: FJB 3 RecommendationsRecommended By locogringo longnshort Old Boothby
Respond to of 1575183 Could Millennials Cost Clinton the Presidency? Liberal young people were supposed to be part of her winning coalition, but they’re moving to third-party candidates in remarkably high numbers. Josh Kraushaar @HOTLINEJOSH Sept. 16, 2016, 6 a.m. nationaljournal.com One of the most surprising elements of this presidential campaign is the lack of engagement from President Obama’s diverse base of millennials and nonwhite voters—despite the presence of the deeply-divisive Donald Trump in the race . Polling suggests the race is highly competitive, driven by Trump’s supporters saying they’re more likely to show up at the polls than Hillary Clinton’s. And the main reason Clinton finds herself in trouble is that she doesn’t appeal to many of the same voters who flocked to back Obama in 2008 and 2012. The mostly liberal millennials were expected to be a critical part of Clinton’s winning coalition, but it turns out they hold a dim view of her candidacy. In the Democratic primaries, she won less than 30 percent of their support against Bernie Sanders. A remarkable 77 percent don’t think she’s honest , according to a new Quinnipiac national survey . A slew of polls released this week show these voters are moving to third-party candidates in remarkably high numbers . Libertarian nominee Gary Johnson and Green Party candidate Jill Stein tallied a whopping 44 percent of the vote among millennials, according to the Quinnipiac poll—three times their support among all voters. It’s not an outlier: A CBS/New York Times survey released Thursday shows the two winning 36 percent of the same constituency.That’s the difference between a narrow Clinton lead and a dead-even race. In a two-way contest, Clinton leads by 5 (Quinnipiac) and 2 (CBS/NYT ). In a four-way race, Clinton’s lead shrinks to 2 (Quinnipiac) or disappears entirely (CBS/NYT ). Without Johnson and Stein in the field, Clinton holds a substantial lead over Trump with millennials. But her 21-point advantage over Trump among millennials shrinks to just 5 points when Johnson and Stein are on the ballot. CONT...