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Politics : Formerly About Advanced Micro Devices -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: longnshort who wrote (965196)9/17/2016 7:56:10 PM
From: FJB3 Recommendations

Recommended By
locogringo
longnshort
Old Boothby

  Respond to of 1575183
 
Could Millennials Cost Clinton the Presidency?

Liberal young people were supposed to be part of her winning coalition, but they’re moving to third-party candidates in remarkably high numbers.

Josh Kraushaar @HOTLINEJOSH
Sept. 16, 2016, 6 a.m.
nationaljournal.com

One of the most sur­pris­ing ele­ments of this pres­id­en­tial cam­paign is the lack of en­gage­ment from Pres­id­ent Obama’s di­verse base of mil­len­ni­als and non­white voters—des­pite the pres­ence of the deeply-di­vis­ive Don­ald Trump in the race. Polling sug­gests the race is highly com­pet­it­ive, driv­en by Trump’s sup­port­ers say­ing they’re more likely to show up at the polls than Hil­lary Clin­ton’s. And the main reas­on Clin­ton finds her­self in trouble is that she doesn’t ap­peal to many of the same voters who flocked to back Obama in 2008 and 2012.

The mostly lib­er­al mil­len­ni­als were ex­pec­ted to be a crit­ic­al part of Clin­ton’s win­ning co­ali­tion, but it turns out they hold a dim view of her can­did­acy. In the Demo­crat­ic primar­ies, she won less than 30 per­cent of their sup­port against Bernie Sanders. A re­mark­able 77 per­cent don’t think she’s hon­est, ac­cord­ing to a new Quin­nipi­ac na­tion­al sur­vey. A slew of polls re­leased this week show these voters are mov­ing to third-party can­did­ates in re­mark­ably high num­bers. Liber­tari­an nom­in­ee Gary John­son and Green Party can­did­ate Jill Stein tal­lied a whop­ping 44 per­cent of the vote among mil­len­ni­als, ac­cord­ing to the Quin­nipi­ac poll—three times their sup­port among all voters. It’s not an out­lier: A CBS/New York Times sur­vey re­leased Thursday shows the two win­ning 36 per­cent of the same con­stitu­ency.

That’s the dif­fer­ence between a nar­row Clin­ton lead and a dead-even race. In a two-way con­test, Clin­ton leads by 5 (Quin­nipi­ac) and 2 (CBS/NYT). In a four-way race, Clin­ton’s lead shrinks to 2 (Quin­nipi­ac) or dis­ap­pears en­tirely (CBS/NYT). Without John­son and Stein in the field, Clin­ton holds a sub­stan­tial lead over Trump with mil­len­ni­als. But her 21-point ad­vant­age over Trump among mil­len­ni­als shrinks to just 5 points when John­son and Stein are on the bal­lot.

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