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To: Bargain Hunter who wrote (2609)1/2/1998 9:11:00 PM
From: Charles Fullerton  Respond to of 10309
 
We have these two pendulums of value vs. cost. Sometimes they work in compelling unison. But then is the time to watch out for overriding politics (bureaucracy)to take charge. Ever onward!



To: Bargain Hunter who wrote (2609)1/3/1998 10:11:00 AM
From: Arrow Hd.  Respond to of 10309
 
Thanks for the post. Good points throughout. One of the dangers we
face when working for or investing in technology companies is the
fact that the industry is constantly changing due to new inventions
and business requirements. I recall when the PC was "invented" and
was embraced by IBM in the early 80s (I am not ignoring Apple here).
IBM made one of the most grievous errors of the 20th century by mis-
calculating the demand and acceptance of PCs in both the corporate
and private sector. The forecasts were for thousands of machines not
millions or even hundreds of thousands. This, in turn, caused the
business to be sloppy and this lack of vigilance allowed a small
programming company called Microsoft to not only have the honor of
writing the OS for this first IBM PC but walk off with all the
intellectual property, rights in data, etc. which became the bedrock
for their meteoric rise and success. The NC and Java represents
possibly the last chance to reverse this trend and that is why I
caution against downplaying where the NC will fit into the strategies
employed by the other powerful technology companies. The other
challenge Microsoft will face is from the DOJ. I have spent more time
than I ever wanted as an expert witness in various technology suits
involving anti-trust and I believe these issues are not going away
and will become more serious. Anyway, I believe the NC strategy is
currently underestimated and poorly understood.