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Strategies & Market Trends : General market lab and commentary -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Robohogs who wrote (617)11/2/2016 8:39:57 AM
From: Robohogs  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 668
 
LAT poll added 2 to Trump lead. He lost 1 in ABC. USING 538 adjustment, call Lat Trump +1 (from +6) and ABC a tie. My sense is we are at 2/maybe 3.

I am seeing a lot if Nate Cohn NYT stuff claimng NC for HRC based on early vote. I do not see it. I see lower Dem participation vs electorate which voted Romney. Some weird polls out in NC/FL alternatively showing big leads for Trump/Clinton on basis if 20+% vote shares of opposing party voters. Both feel wrong.

I still see Senate as toss-up.