SI
SI
discoversearch

We've detected that you're using an ad content blocking browser plug-in or feature. Ads provide a critical source of revenue to the continued operation of Silicon Investor.  We ask that you disable ad blocking while on Silicon Investor in the best interests of our community.  If you are not using an ad blocker but are still receiving this message, make sure your browser's tracking protection is set to the 'standard' level.
Strategies & Market Trends : Dividend investing for retirement -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: E_K_S who wrote (25912)11/7/2016 1:47:43 PM
From: robert b furman1 Recommendation

Recommended By
Bocor

  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 34328
 
I watched VTR as their management saw the billing choke holds on SNF coming much sooner than HCP.

So i was watching the VTR spinoff of CCP and wanting to apply the same plan to HCP.

I like HCP's properties and leasors - they are high end and high margin.

The SNF was a bad move that caught up with them (being blinded to the sea change of government reimbursements)

That cost Lauralee Martin and her CFO their jobs.

I think HCP is top end and very much like their properties - but this dividend reduction (I expect) and spin off will be brutal as they have been an Aristocrat so long that the reduction will force a huge wave of selling.

There are a lot of retirees who don't watch that closely and the reduction will pull an immediate knee jerk sell response .

I want to get back into the new HCP in an opportunistic way - the sell of always goes too far.

Won't pull a trigger till the new dividend rate is confirmed.

When /if the yield on the price coughs up 6.25 - 6.5 yield - I'll start a new position.

This will be a very humbling adjustment that HCP will make.

They have the assets and know people that can minimize the pain of the transition - that's why I want back into the stock, but not the spinoff (even if it does dip another 10% as it did in the VTR spin off.

Bob