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Technology Stocks : Corel Corp. -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: A. Reader who wrote (4217)1/3/1998 9:40:00 AM
From: bcoch  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 9798
 
As you will read the jury is stillout on this one;

Corel previews disappointing quarter : 0.88
Computer Reseller News, January 05, 1998

anuary 05, 1998, Issue: 770
Section: News

Corel previews disappointing quarter

Lee Pender

Ottawa -- Corel Corp. continues on its rocky road. Weeks ago, the company
warned that its fourth-quarter results, to be announced Jan. 13, will not meet
expectations.

The software maker's recent financial trouble got deeper when it released a
preview of its fourth-quarter financial report on Dec. 18. Citing excess
inventory in the channel, Corel said it will post a loss of $95 million and net
sales of just $44 million for its fourth fiscal quarter ended Nov. 30. The
expected loss amounts to $1.43 per share. Corel executives said the company
experienced returns of $50 million from the channel.

The loss comes on top of a loss of $31.4 million on sales of $55.8 million in the
preceding quarter. Despite the bad news, executives said the company expects
to record an additional $7 million in cash for the fourth quarter, raising its total
cash amount to almost $30 million.

Rob Enderle, senior analyst at Cambridge, Mass.-based Giga Information
Group, said Corel might not see the end of 1998 as an independent entity.
Corel's plans to develop Java suite applications and a network computer,
coupled with the company's recent financial turmoil, might make the company
an acquisition target for NC vendor IBM Corp. or Java inventor Sun
Microsystems Inc., he said.

Enderle pointed to Corel's office suite battle with Microsoft Corp. as a major
hurdle.."[Corel] decided to make a run at a market that was already
standardized on somebody else's product," he said. "It was going to eat up
something like three times their resources just to make a dent. There was no
reasonable possibility that they could be successful at this."

However, John Shagoury, president for North America of Norwood,
Mass.-based Corporate Software and Technology, said Corel's problems are
basically focused in the retail and mail-order sections of the channel and that
the company is not suffering in the corporate market. Corel's recent report
"does not change our strategy that much at this point," he said.

"We've actually seen good, positive signs from Corel," said Shagoury. "They're
really focusing on the core business market."

Shagoury pointed to Corel's strength in vertical markets-specifically the
government and legal markets-as a key to helping the company survive.

"They could make a very fine living in a lot of the verticals if they continue to
invest in development."

One move that will be closely watched is Corel's forthcoming foray into Java
applications.

Michael Cowpland, Corel president and chief executive, said the company is
on track to release two Java-based applications, code-named Alta and
Remagen, and a network computer in 1998. Remagen, scheduled for release in
the beginning of 1998, is a Java-based Windows-to-Java bridging technology.
Alta, scheduled to ship in the second half of 1998, is a platform that combines
Java, XML and HTML. The network computer is slated to debut in "very early
1998," and early prototypes have gone out to partners, Cowpland said.

"We are not counting on those for revenue," Cowpland said of the Alta and
Remagen products. "Any revenue we obtain from those will be extra to our
plans."

Cowpland added that he is upbeat about the potential for the long-term growth
of Java. Enderle was not as bullish about Corel's future in the Java office suite
market.

"I don't think they'll ever be able to count on it for revenues," he said. "They are
a development house. Shagoury, however, said that selling the Java office suite
is "really their opportunity" and that he would be watching the emergence of
Java itself and Corel's applications very closely. "If they pick up a couple of
verticals, they may end up building a nice-size business in the small- to
[midsize-] business space."

Copyright (c) 1998 CMP Media Inc.

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