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Strategies & Market Trends : 2026 TeoTwawKi ... 2032 Darkest Interregnum -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: elmatador who wrote (124635)	11/14/2016 2:52:34 PM
From: Maurice Winn	Read Replies (1) \| Respond to of 217739

Earthquakes in modern countries where civil engineers have designed buildings in the last half century where there is not adobe housing or masonry buildings are no worry. The worst of the shaking was in rural areas so not much happened, unlike when Christchurch was destroyed and hundreds killed. The big news will be when Taupo erupts suddenly, as it does, on a full moon, at high tide, when ground water levels are low. People laugh at discussions of the moon and earthquakes/volcanoes but a simple understanding of tidal forces and how geysers work would show people that liquids turning to gases when overburden forces are reduced leads to eruptions. When Taupo, a caldera like Yellowstone's but bigger, erupts, it will destroy all the hydroelectric stations from Tongariro to Huntly's thermal one which won't be operable because the river won't be there and maybe the power station. It will also kill about 100,000 people living in the region [34,000 in Taupo town city]. The Waikato farms will be buried as a foaming siliceous lava races down the Waikato vally at 100 km per hour. Auckland will have no electricity [other than a few minor local power plants at hospitals and here and there]. I calculate the odds of Taupo erupting at 1 in 10 in a 50 year period. 1 in 10 is not good odds. With each passing 50 years, the odds get worse as it's not a random matter, it's a matter of when enough hydrocarbons have been subducted, as in that latest earthquake, to fill the magma chambers and columns of hot stuff with weaponized explosive material which will turn to gas when the pressure is reduced, then burn when it reaches the atmosphere. I used to have the odds at 1 in 10 in a 70 year period, but reduced that several years ago. Pumice is super light because the liquid that was in the lava turned to gas on the way up and puffed up the lava by a factor of 10 or 20. When the lava is flying through the air, it freezes then buries the surrounding countryside for hundreds of kilometres depending on the wind. In Matua, Tauranga, I bought a post hole borer [manual] and made extensions and bored down 7 metre holes to see what the geological formation was at our house [which was on a steep bank which could fall into the estuary if water over-loaded the dirt]. At about 6.5 metres I hit fine pumice which had obviously blown over from Taupo or possibly Rotorua eruptions. I didn't get much deeper and did not get to the bottom of it. Our house was about 200 kilometres from Taupo. The official view: gns.cri.nz I don't believe the extended warning of little earthquakes as I think it will be faster and happen on the full tide at full moon with low ground water level when liquids will turn to gas and will NOT go back to liquid again as pressure returns, but instead will push up and out, removing the load from deeper material in an accelerating process that will result in the whole column firing 50 km up, launched by megatons of hydrocarbons burning when they reach air. The lights will go out in Auckland as electricity supplies are destroyed. Water supplies will be greatly cut as the Waikato will be kaput. Increasing the price will ration that. People can get water off their roof if they want more. Mqurice