To: Todd D. Wiener who wrote (2876 ) 1/3/1998 5:07:00 PM From: vc21 Respond to of 14266
Todd, I disagree with you and many others regarding the secondary. I think liquidity is once again an issue for THQ. If they plan on doing six PC titles and at least three N64 titles, (which are quite capital intensive), where is the money going to come from? I know, most of you will say the credit line but Farrell likes to keep this untapped. This seems like his rainy day money. He did the secondary last time at the worst possible time. Why did we need ten million in February when we only had to use it in October? Why not wait to sell the street with the success of World? Why not tap the credit line back then? Maybe Farrell learned from the last horrendous experience. I hope so. In fact, Farrell thought the stock would rise after the secondary announcement. I have told many that if he got 10 million for roughly 15 - 20 % of the company last time, what's going to stop him from getting 20 - 25 million for 12 % of the company now? I don't think current cash flow can maintain all these projects. And if you want to talk about acquisitions, (which I doubt they would purchase all of Inland, maybe 50.01%), then a secondary is a must. Yes, I admit, he could use current cash flow AND the credit line to handle these projects and an acquisition but the past has shown he would rather use cash. So, I think we are left saying, "What will Farrell do?" That's not a question I can answer. If it were me? I would report a blowout 4Q, along with a split and secondary announcement. Then, everyone is happy and it makes it a lot easier to sell the deal. But that's my humble opinion. The flame-retardant suit is on. Fire away !!! :) Regards, Vic