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Strategies & Market Trends : Asia Forum -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Rmn who wrote (394)1/3/1998 10:59:00 PM
From: Zeev Hed  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 9980
 
Government surplus soak money from the economy, thus reducing overall demand. When such shift in funds occur rapidly they cause major dislocation that amplify the effect of the decline in demand. When transitions occur slowly, capital has time to redirect itself to more productive activities and thus can cause replacement of government demand by private sector demand.

The best solution, IMO to our current excessive debt, is not so much a budget surplus, but creation of relatively minute surpluses in good years and relatively minute deficits in bad years, keeping the debt growing at 10% of the growth of the GDP, until it eventually becomes (over 20 years) a much smaller portion of the GDP.

Strangely enough, we actually need to have government bonds as a store of value (a good replacemnt for gold), otherwise, excess savings will have no place to "park" and will start to find its way to unproductive uses.

Zeev

Zeev