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Technology Stocks : Altaba Inc. (formerly Yahoo) -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Ploni who wrote (5605)1/4/1998 11:09:00 AM
From: santhosh mohan  Respond to of 27307
 
Uh, oh! This sounds like pistols at dawn. :-) <EOM>



To: Ploni who wrote (5605)1/4/1998 11:28:00 AM
From: Rational  Respond to of 27307
 
Charles:

I have always believed and continue to believe that Yahoo! is a bubble stock driven by momentum. The website for Yahoo!Finance looks very useful and organized enough to impress some fund managers like Vinik to play the momentum. I also believe (but have no facts to support) that Softbank has helped in keeping up the momentum because (I have facts to support that) increases in value of stock holdings of a Japanese company are treated as profits. Japan allows "ghost" subsidiaries to make such trades. Such subsidiaries can trade without infringing the US SEC rules. I stress, though, that I do not know if Softbank is trading through a subsidiary.

I believe that the Yahoo! bubble will eventually crash. Yahoo! may have already started breaking the momentum. I believe that the huge volumes on April 40 and July 45 calls were sold by some big player at substantial discounts; this must be to force the broker who bought the calls to hedge his risk because such large call sell orders must have given a pause to the broker (who had to buy these calls) to short the stock and not take a risk by hoping that the momentum will go on. I have also seen that the call option premium+strike for all contracts are very close to the current price -- this can happen if the market expects a secular decline in the stock price. Call prices have started going down and put prices have begun going up. There is also the Hotmail acquisition by MSFT and new rankings on Financial websites with MSFT as #1.

That said, I no longer disclose my investment positions. My posts have always been independent of my investments. Did you short earlier when I sounded bullish to you? I hope you did not lose. Are you planning to buy Yahoo! now, given that I sound bearish to you? I wish you a happy trading either way.

Sankar

*** OT ****

One of the days I was in CTYS, it hit a low of 8 1/2 and rebounded. I chose to sell CTYS soon reading the SEC filing about issuance of new shares for convertible preferred stockholders; well ahead of the requirement. That day I talked to the CFO who sounded nervous; not as ebullient as when I had first talked to him. The following day, I sold my stock.



To: Ploni who wrote (5605)1/4/1998 8:51:00 PM
From: Rational  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 27307
 
Charles:

****** OFF TOPIC *********

I did not open up the issue of CTYS here. In fact, I resisted responding to a remark in the passing by Barb! in one of her posts to someone else in which she asked to ask me about a buy-and-hold strategy with respect to CTYS. When Peter asked me point blank about CTYS, I responded. I absolutely had no intention of bragging and I did not initiate the issue of CTYS here. If you consider my response to someone's question as bragging (whereas generally it is construed as a courtsey), then I feel there is something wrong with what you say: <<..I don't think you should brag about your performance on that investment.>>

Furthermore, I sold my CTYS holdings at $9 1/8 and posted my reasons for doing so. I know the price dropped to $3/4, but you had chosen to remain long based on your assessment of risks and returns. I did not know that you were following a strategy contrary to mine. <<there are many who might be tempted to use your investment positions>>

If you are so presumptuous about following a strategy contrary to mine with an expectation to make money, how would you explain your losses on CTYS? Obviously, your assertions contradict your results and your remarks are unwarranted.

That said, I wish you well in your investment strategy, whether or not it is contrary to mine.

Sankar