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Strategies & Market Trends : 2026 TeoTwawKi ... 2032 Darkest Interregnum -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: ggersh who wrote (127755)1/5/2017 3:17:04 PM
From: Sdgla  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 217615
 


A few minor issues preventing the party by I'm sure it's going to happen eventually.



To: ggersh who wrote (127755)1/5/2017 3:17:28 PM
From: Sdgla  Respond to of 217615
 


A few minor issues preventing the party from getting started but I'm sure it's going to happen eventually.



To: ggersh who wrote (127755)1/5/2017 10:02:31 PM
From: elmatador  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 217615
 
Goldman’s Bet on Emerging Currencies Is BRICS Without the ‘C’

January 6, 2017, 5:07 AM GMT+4

Favors countries less vulnerable to U.S. protectionism

Bet against yuan when China worries are ‘off radar screens’

Goldman Sachs Group Inc., home to the team that conceived the BRIC framework for investing in the largest emerging markets, is urging investors to "stay the course" with bets on the currencies of Brazil, Russia and India, along with South Africa.

When it comes to China, Goldman anticipates a “grinding” move lower for the yuan this year, “analogous to 2016.” Goldman emerging-market strategists led by Kamakshya Trivedi in London predicted in a note dated Thursday the yuan will retreat to 7.3 per dollar by year-end, more bearish than the 7.16 median forecast in a Bloomberg survey. It was at 6.883 on Thursday in Beijing.

China, South Korea and other Asian economies are vulnerable to U.S. President-elect Donald Trump’s protectionist election manifesto translating into policy and regulatory action. By contrast, Brazil, Russia, India and South Africa are less at risk, Goldman analysts reckon.

“Mapping U.S. ‘swing state’ job losses with emerging-market-U.S. trade flows suggests that these ‘good carry’ candidates appear less likely to face U.S. import restrictions because their exports compete less directly with U.S. labor,” the Goldman analysts wrote.


The analysts cited improving balance of payments, falling paths for inflation, attractive real yields and prospects for stronger growth this year in the four big emerging markets they favor.

“Preferred emerging-market longs can be funded out of non-Japan Asia low-yielders (South Korean won, Singapore dollar, Malaysian ringgit) or in non-dollar developed markets (euro, yen, pound),” they wrote.

China’s yuan could potentially fall further than 7.3 per dollar by year-end, Goldman said. Accelerated capital outflows, or depreciation carried out as a policy response to Trump protectionism, are among the risk scenarios.

“The best times to gain exposure to dollar-yuan weakness have tended to be when China concerns were off radar screens, or after periodic interventions that flushed out bearish speculative positions and provided attractive entry points,” the Goldman analysts wrote. “That remains our view today.”



To: ggersh who wrote (127755)1/5/2017 10:10:05 PM
From: elmatador  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 217615
 
"The new sovereign" is the term chief decider uses betrays the idea his ancestors who came back to be bureaucrats of the new regime after the Qing dinasty bit the dust, had about the new China.

As always the thieves fight for the spoils or the loot to use TJs favorite term.

They ended up fighting to be who would be the new sovereign. Two factions: Mao and Chiang.

They were about to go to each others throat Angola style, the US did not want a China civil war and shipped Chiang to Taiwan.

Mao's clique became the new kings of the place pulling the wool over the eyes of a billion Chinese. The Chinese people have no choice but accept their fate.

But chief decider dislike the democratic system hat elects whomever they want and in the process learn. Chinese cannot learn by doing.