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To: frankw1900 who wrote (623583)1/27/2017 7:20:21 AM
From: alanrs  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 794362
 
In evolutionary time economic system developed in less than a nanosecond and formal scientific understanding of anything developed in even less time. None of our understanding is close to perfect. There is no reason to believe our economic system or our understanding of it is perfect.
I think that was the point of the Skinowski post, it's not perfect nor can it ever be. The pretension of understanding adds to the problem.

You claim, No "system" designed by the best minds and based on the best theories can ever be more stable than free market capitalism. But I've described how a component of it, non-financial company private debt formation, leads to financial crashes causing deflation, depression or stagnation.
And this is a problem exactly how? It would be one thing if those bad -ions only happened under x circumstances, but they seem to happen under all circumstances, at minimum from investments that misread the future, however generated. It would be much easier to make good decisions if one knew how it all turned out, without that foreknowledge there are bound to be mistakes. Buggy whip makers come to mind.

If I understand you correctly you are saying such an outcome is the best we can hope for:The very "instability" of the process when millions of human beings are actively engaged in trying to make the most of their money - is the greatest stability possible. It allows all errors and excesses to self correct with most efficiency - through money and other assets changing hands.
If what you've got is "bad" and messing with it without understanding the myriad consequences makes it worse, then yes, "bad" is the best one can hope for.

I don't believe the depression of 1930s, Japanese stagnation the past 25 years, or our stagnation post 2008 is the most efficient outcome neither in human deprivation and lost opportunities, nor in time, if there is an alternative.
A big if.

Good post, BTW, very thoughtful.
Thanks.



To: frankw1900 who wrote (623583)1/27/2017 8:25:30 AM
From: skinowski2 Recommendations

Recommended By
alanrs
Joe Btfsplk

  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 794362
 
Conclusion. Governments are never self serving. They serve those that own or steal the government.

Read the US Constitution, and try to appreciate its brilliance and brevity. It's all about trying to keep a leash on government. It is a work of genius - an attempt to regulate the regulators. The concept worked - long enough to make the US a great country.

Now, try estimating how many lifetimes it would take to read today's laws and regulations. Today, the government is a huge world. No one "owns" it - even the President has only limited influence over it. The government has been growing like crazy, out of control, like cancer - for many generations.

The best thing a government can do for the economy is to maintain a lawful society, enforce contracts, etc - all the basic services of this nature. However, government consists of individual people - and human nature being what it is, each one sees their work as a career, as a path towards success, towards their own version of fame and fortune. It's human nature to expand and grow whatever project we happen to be involved in.

You think we the people own our government? I think most Americans do not believe so. Our politicians are borrowing billions of dollars a day, during (relative) peacetime - because they were crazy and reckless enough to take on more obligations than the country can afford. It's easy and tempting to futz around with other people's money.