To: GROUND ZERO™  who wrote (181 ) 2/4/2017 7:00:19 AM From: tracor  4 RecommendationsRecommended By  FJB GROUND ZERO™ James Seagrove Solon
    Read Replies (1)  | Respond to    of 1111  GZ,,, one of the best articles on islam, the Mid-east, and the world we live in that I have seen.Explanation of the Mid-east    Daniel Greenfield, a Shillman Journalism Fellow at the Freedom Center, is a New York writer focusing on radical Islam .  Forget  the Syrian Civil War for a moment. Even without the Sunnis and Shiites  competing to give each other machete haircuts every sunny morning, there  would still be a permanent Muslim refugee crisis.  The  vast majority of civil wars over the last ten years have taken place in  Muslim countries. Muslim countries are also some of the poorest in the  world. And Muslim countries also have high birth rates.  Combine violence and poverty with a population boom and you get a permanent migration crisis.  No matter what happens in Syria or Libya next year, that permanent migration crisis isn’t going away. The  Muslim world is expanding unsustainably. In the Middle East and Asia,  Muslims tend to underperform their non-Muslim neighbors both  educationally and economically. Oil is the only asset that gave Muslims  any advantage and in the age of fracking, its value is a lot shakier  than it used to be.  The  Muslim world had lost its old role as the intermediary between Asia and  the West. And it has no economic function in the new world except to  blackmail it by spreading violence and instability.  Muslim  countries with lower literacy rates, especially for women, are never  going to be economic winners at any trade that doesn’t come gushing out  of the ground. Nor will unstable dictatorships ever be able to provide  social mobility or access to the good life. At best they’ll hand out  subsidies for bread. The Muslim world has no prospects for getting any better. The Arab Spring was a Western delusion.  Growing  populations divided along tribal and religious lines are competing for a  limited amount of land, power and wealth. Countries without a future  are set to double in size.  There are only two solutions; war or migration.  Either you fight and take what you want at home. Or you go abroad and take what you want there.  Let’s  assume that the Iraq War had never happened. How would a religiously  and ethnically divided Iraq have managed its growth from 13 million in  the eighties to 30 million around the Iraq War to 76 million in 2050?  The answer is a bloody civil war followed by genocide, ethnic cleansing and migration.  What’s happening now would have happened anyway. It was already happening under Saddam Hussein. Baghdad  has one of the highest population densities in the world. And it has no  future. The same is true across the region. The only real economic plan  anyone here has is to get money from the West.  Plan  A for getting money out of the West is creating a crisis that will  force it to intervene. That can mean anything from starting a war to  aiding terrorists that threaten the West. Muslim countries keep shooting  themselves in the foot so that Westerners will rush over to kiss the  booboo and make it better.  Plan B is to move to Europe.  What's This? And  Plan B is a great plan. It’s the only real economic plan that works. At  least until the West runs out of native and naïve Westerners who foot  the bill for all the migrants, refugees and outright settlers. For  thousands of dollars, a Middle Eastern Muslim can pay to be smuggled  into Europe. It’s a small investment with a big payoff. Even the lowest  tier welfare benefits in Sweden are higher than the average salary in a  typical Muslim migrant nation. And Muslim migrants are extremely attuned  to the payoffs. It’s why they clamor to go to Germany or Sweden, not  Greece or Slovakia. And it’s why they insist on big cities with an  existing Muslim social welfare infrastructure, not some rural village. A  Muslim migrant is an investment for an entire extended family. Once the  young men get their papers, family reunification begins. That doesn’t  just mean every extended family member showing up and demanding their  benefits. It also means that the family members will be selling access  to Europe to anyone who can afford it. Don’t hike or raft your way to  Europe. Mohammed or Ahmed will claim that you’re a family member. Or  temporarily marry you so you can bring your whole extended family along. Mohammed  gets paid. So does Mo’s extended family which brokers these  transactions. Human trafficking doesn’t just involve rafts. It’s about  having the right family connections. And all that is just the tip of a very big business iceberg. Where  do Muslim migrants come up with a smuggling fee that amounts to several  years of salary for an average worker? Some come from wealthy families.  Others are sponsored by crime networks and family groups that are out  to move everything from drugs to weapons to large numbers of people into  Europe.  Large  loans will be repaid as the new migrants begin sending their new  welfare benefits back home. Many will be officially unemployed even  while unofficially making money through everything from slave labor to  organized crime. European authorities will blame their failure to  participate in the job market on racism rather than acknowledging that  they exist within the confines of an alternate economy.  It’s  not only individuals or families who can pursue Plan B. Turkey wants to  join the European Union. It’s one solution for an Islamist populist  economy built on piles of debt. The EU has a choice between dealing with  the stream of migrants from Turkey moving to Europe. Or all of Turkey  moving into Europe.  The West didn’t create this problem. Its interventions, however misguided, attempted to manage it. Islamic  violence is not a response to Western colonialism. Not only does it  predate it, but as many foreign policy experts are so fond of pointing  out, its greatest number of casualties are Muslims. The West did not  create Muslim dysfunction. And it is not responsible for it. Instead the  dysfunction of the Muslim world keeps dragging the West in. Every  Western attempt to ameliorate it, from humanitarian aid to peacekeeping  operations, only opens up the West to take the blame for Islamic  dysfunction.  The permanent refugee crisis is a structural problem caused by the conditions of the Muslim world.  The  West can’t solve the crisis at its source. Only Muslims can do that.  And there are no easy answers. But the West can and should avoid being  dragged down into the black hole of Muslim dysfunction.  Even  Germany’s Merkel learned that the number of refugees is not a finite  quantity that can be relieved with a charitable gesture. It’s the same  escalating number of people that will show up if you start throwing bags  of money out of an open window. And it’s a number that no country can  absorb. Muslim civil wars will continue even if the West never  intervenes in them because their part of the world is fundamentally  unstable. These conflicts will lead to the displacement of millions of  people. But even without violence, economic opportunism alone will drive  millions to the West. And those millions carry with them the  dysfunction of their culture that will make them a burden and a threat.  If  Muslims can’t reconcile their conflicts at home, what makes us think  that they will reconcile them in Europe? Instead of resolving their  problems through migration, they only export them to new shores. The  same outbursts of Islamic violence, xenophobia, economic malaise and  unsustainable growth follow them across seas and oceans, across  continents and countries. Distance is no answer. Travel is no cure.  Solving  Syria will solve nothing. The Muslim world is full of fault lines. It’s  growing and it’s running out of room to grow. We can’t save Muslims  from themselves. We can only save ourselves from their violence.  The permanent Muslim refugee crisis will never stop being our crisis unless we close the door.  Regards, Amitiés, Saludos Cordiales,Please visit  www.michaelrdavidson.com    to learn more about Michael R. Davidson’s novels:   Harry’s Rules Eye for an Eye Incubus The Incubus Vendetta The Inquisitor and the Maiden Retribution Krystal In the  Shadow of Mordor (with Kseniya Kirillova)  Save