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To: robert b furman who wrote (18731)2/14/2017 9:34:06 AM
From: The Ox  Respond to of 33421
 
I agree, robert.

I would note that SPY is up 31% (if you include the dividends) since last winter's low. Other than the Brexit blip, there really hasn't been a back fill move of any size since then. Also, it's been over 85 trading days since SPY was down 2 full points, so this move appears to be slightly long in the tooth. Hard to judge when or why there will be a slow down in the markets?



To: robert b furman who wrote (18731)2/14/2017 12:40:36 PM
From: 3bar1 Recommendation

Recommended By
roguedolphin

  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 33421
 
Some thing that has me thinking and it relates to what rob was saying about the top .

Richard Vague in "The Next Economic Disaster " says that each of our crises have been preceded by rapid private loan growth on a base of high personal debt to GDP ratio .
amazon.com

debt-economics.org

So the problem stems from too many bad loans . What looks like success is the ( opposite ) seeds of failure .

How do we see what rob is saying and the bad loans playing out ? To pay down Personal debt to GDP to levels where it can ratchet higher enough to create excesses growth + bad loans , must be south of 140 % .

This is all going to take time . Just can't see through it or maybe keeping it simple is the answer .



To: robert b furman who wrote (18731)2/14/2017 1:02:35 PM
From: richardred  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 33421
 
Hi Bob it's time to buy this thing it's going to the moon. Easy Money! LoL



To: robert b furman who wrote (18731)2/14/2017 1:43:38 PM
From: 3bar  Respond to of 33421
 
rob this is a good article from his blog. democracyjournal.org

You may find it long and boring ?

Ignore the debt side - " But leave this burden unaddressed, and the world will slowly suffocate. "

A guy like Musk comes along and creates a lot of the good needed stuff he is talking about .